W&M Halloween Open 2022

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 23, 2022 at 12:30 PM

William & Mary Bee McLeod Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
2 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 5%
3 SEMP Iain 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 60% 19%
3 HSIEH Sabrina 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4% -
5 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 6%
6 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
7 MOREY Zachary D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
8 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54% 11%
9 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
10 LE Tan 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
11 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
12 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
13 MAHNKEN Thomas G. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
14 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
14 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 10%
16 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
17 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
18 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 6%
19 MAGGY Melanie D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 4%
20 NSUBUGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
21 KOKE Matthew 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
22 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
23 PRATHER Frank 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
24 HARPER Wesley 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
25 HERRIES Elsa 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
26 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 99% 86% 44% 10% 1% -
27 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
28 CHERRY Samuel 100% 76% 28% 5% - - -
29 PAQUETTE Emily 100% 97% 61% 18% 3% - -
30 KASPER Lucia 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
31 PISTONE Leah 100% 95% 55% 14% 1% - -
32 BARBER Christopher 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 4% -
33 HOCHSTETTER Robert 100% 88% 49% 13% 1% - -
34 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
35 KOKE Kristen 100% 54% 16% 3% - - -
36 ALLEN Lily 100% 92% 51% 14% 2% - -
37 KANE Rachel 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
38 GIBSON Karino 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
39 BRUFFEY Thomas 100% 88% 37% 7% 1% - -
40 CASTILLO Natalie 100% 88% 43% 3% - - -
41 POOLE Katherine 100% 70% 23% 3% - - -
42 MALIK Zeerick 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.