Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TRULL A.J. - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
2 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
3 LAI Boden - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
3 PALIWODA Nicholas - 2% 15% 37% 37% 9%
5 BRODSKY Julian - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
6 SONG Troy - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
7 LIU Jeremiah W. - 7% 26% 37% 23% 5%
8 FENG shang - 1% 11% 39% 39% 9%
9 FEINBERG James Y. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% < 1%
10 X Benjamin - 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
11 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan - 3% 17% 40% 33% 7%
12 CHAI Ethan - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
13 JIANG Matthew - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
14 CHOU Benson 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
15 SANTOS Antonio K. - 2% 14% 36% 35% 12%
16 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
17 SCHAUER Oliver 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
18 JIANG ryan - 2% 16% 39% 34% 8%
19 XIE Brandon - - 5% 24% 43% 28%
20 ZENG Andrew - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
21 DOUBOV Andrew - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
22 LI Ray 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
23 BRADSHAW Carter - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
24 XIA Dashan - 8% 29% 39% 20% 4%
25 WARD Kofi 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
26 BYRON Max 9% 39% 36% 13% 2% -
27 SINGLETON Aman - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
28 ORESKOVIC Olivier 22% 44% 28% 6% - -
29 PAN Anthony 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
30 HSIEN Hong-yu - 4% 25% 40% 25% 5%
31 LIU Adam - 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
32 GLUSHKOV David 52% 37% 9% 1% - -
33 MASSE Jack 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
34 BAJAJ Nakul 16% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
35 SANTOS Francisco M. - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
36 WUNDER Eli 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
37 ZHAO Pierce 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
38 OTTAVIANO Aaron 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
39 BARROSO Jose - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
40 CAFASSO Alexander 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
41 TESFAYE Elias 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
42 LISANKE Victor - 2% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
43 WOLFORD Benjamin 30% 50% 18% 2% - -
44 LI Jade 8% 42% 36% 12% 2% -
44 KNOX Mekhi 2% 23% 43% 26% 5% -
46 AHMED Mohsen 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
47 LEE Ethan 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
48 HANNA Alexander 62% 32% 6% - - -
49 FINNEY Mason - 3% 21% 42% 28% 6% -
50 CANAPARI Theodore 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
51 ROSIELLO Francesco 18% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
52 WILLIAMS Asher - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
53 LIU Joshua 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
54 HALL Miles 2% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
55 MASSE Dean 78% 20% 2% - - -
56 HALL Noah 3% 23% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
57 ULINTZ MOSOVICH Quinn 2% 32% 45% 18% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.