Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43%
2 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
3 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
3 PALIWODA Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 9%
5 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
6 SONG Troy 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
7 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 5%
8 FENG shang 100% 100% 99% 88% 48% 9%
9 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% < 1%
10 X Benjamin 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 4%
11 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
12 CHAI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 54% 15%
13 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
14 CHOU Benson 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 3%
15 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
16 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
17 SCHAUER Oliver 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
18 JIANG ryan 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 8%
19 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
20 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7%
21 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
22 LI Ray 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
23 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
24 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4%
25 WARD Kofi 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
26 BYRON Max 100% 91% 52% 16% 2% -
27 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
28 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 78% 34% 6% - -
29 PAN Anthony 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
30 HSIEN Hong-yu 100% 100% 96% 70% 30% 5%
31 LIU Adam 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 5%
32 GLUSHKOV David 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
33 MASSE Jack 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
34 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
35 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
36 WUNDER Eli 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
37 ZHAO Pierce 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
38 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
39 BARROSO Jose 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
40 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
41 TESFAYE Elias 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
42 LISANKE Victor 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
43 WOLFORD Benjamin 100% 70% 20% 3% - -
44 LI Jade 100% 92% 50% 13% 2% -
44 KNOX Mekhi 100% 98% 75% 31% 5% -
46 AHMED Mohsen 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
47 LEE Ethan 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
48 HANNA Alexander 100% 38% 6% - - -
49 FINNEY Mason 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% -
50 CANAPARI Theodore 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
51 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
52 WILLIAMS Asher 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
53 LIU Joshua 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
54 HALL Miles 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
55 MASSE Dean 100% 22% 2% - - -
56 HALL Noah 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% 1% -
57 ULINTZ MOSOVICH Quinn 100% 98% 66% 20% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.