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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

AFM Div1A ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, September 8, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Sunnyvale, CA - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZILINSKIY Eduard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
3 ARIETA Ryan T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
3 SHAMIS Mark 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
5 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
6 SALLEMBIEN Nicolas H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
7 SHARMA Sanil 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
8 NG Alexander M. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
9 NGUYEN Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
10 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
11 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
12 LEVY Zachari I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
13 CAI Kevin P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 4%
14 WISOFF Jeffrey 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
15 WANG Nathan 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
16 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
17 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
18 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
19 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
20 MENEGOLI Lorenzo 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
21 SHACKLEFORD Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 11%
22 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
23 ZHOU Alec Q. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
24 CAO Tianxing 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
25 VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
26 LIANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
27 KULIGOWSKI Bartosz 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
28 CHON Joshua 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
29 DESOUZA Hansel S. 100% 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% -
30 YULE Alexander L. 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
31 KUO Elvin 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
32 SIVAGAR Leo 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
33 MARIANI Lou 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 23%
34 WONG Nathan 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
35 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 2%
36 LOUIE Jason 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
37 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
38 RAJPAL Sartaj S. 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 6%
39 POPOVICI Andrew E. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
40 MA Victor 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% - -
41 WEAVER Neil 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8% 1%
42 DUONG Enoch 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 18% 1%
43 KONCHENKO Andrey 100% 100% 93% 71% 35% 10% 1%
44 PALACIOS Justin M. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
45 LIU Bobby P. 100% 92% 62% 26% 5% -
46 DORRELL Connor I. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
47 AU Marcus J. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
48 YAO Shun 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
48 JOSEPH Abey 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
50 PARK Elliot 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
51 KOERBER Christopher T. 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
52 MAENG Jake W. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
53 SCRIBNER Aidan C. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
54 JUNG Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
55 ZIEBART Jeremy J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
56 NGUYEN Steven 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
57 WEINGARTEN Solomon (Sol) 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
58 LEVITSKY Jonathan 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
59 DIECK Logan O. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
60 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 91% 53% 10% 1% - -
61 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
62 BARRY Dominick 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
63 LIU Benjamin 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
64 KOH Tommy 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
65 ELANGO SriVaaikuntesh 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3%
66 ANDERSON Elias W. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
67 LEE Trevor 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
68 HASAN Raamis 100% 72% 26% 3% - - -
69 HAINES Reagan 100% 77% 29% 5% - - -
70 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2%
71 STENNIS Brendan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
72 XIONG Zejun 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
73 MILEY Nick N. 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
74 GNERRE Sante 100% 97% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
75 BAGCHI Aritra 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
76 ATHAVALE Pranav 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
77 PETERSON Elliot F. 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
78 OLANDER Gabriel 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.