Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA
Note: Color boxes represent opponent difficulty from the fencer's perspective. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SENIC Lucas | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 2 | MCMILLIAN Harrison | D D V V D | V V V V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 3 | LIU Yinhong | V V V D V | V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 3 | TURNER Jackson | V V V V V | V V D | 2.0 | 5 | +3.0 |
| 5 | KNIBBE Nathan | V V D V V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 6 | ZMUDA Aiden | V V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 7 | FERGUSON Levi | V V D D V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 8 | DIFRANK Avery | V D V V D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 9 | ZHOU Justin | V V V V V | D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 10 | MURPHY Jonathan | D D V V V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 11 | BALES Gabriel | V V D D V | V D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 12 | ELTOFT Caden | D V D V V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 13 | DOROTHY Alex | V V D D D | V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 14 | DIFRANK Tae | V D V D D | V D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 15 | DEPP Edward | D V D D V | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 16 | MCCONKEY Tristan | D D D V D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 17 | IBRAHIM Khaden | D V V D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 18 | LINEBERRY CADEN | D D V V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 19 | HALL Fletcher | V D V D D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 20 | TOMOV Evan | D D D D V | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 21 | ZHANG BAICHEN | D D D D V | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 22 | KIPNIS Ari | D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 23 | BLACK John | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 24 | MARTIN Wesley | D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the difficulty of an opponent from the perspective of the fencer according to table below. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of victory |
|---|---|---|
| Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Roughly even | 40% to 60% | |
| Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
This visual map of the competition helps to understand:
Ignoring differences in styles, you should be winning your bouts against easier opponents and shouldn't be upset if you lose against stronger opponents.