Daugherty Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC Foil and Epee only

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SENIC Lucas - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
2 MCMILLIAN Harrison 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
3 LIU Yinhong - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
3 TURNER Jackson 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
5 KNIBBE Nathan - 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
6 ZMUDA Aiden - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
7 FERGUSON Levi - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
8 DIFRANK Avery - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
9 ZHOU Justin - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
10 MURPHY Jonathan - 5% 27% 50% 16% 1%
11 BALES Gabriel 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
12 ELTOFT Caden 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
13 DOROTHY Alex - - 5% 29% 50% 15%
14 DIFRANK Tae 27% 47% 23% 4% - -
15 DEPP Edward 5% 25% 42% 23% 4% -
16 MCCONKEY Tristan 29% 46% 21% 3% - -
17 IBRAHIM Khaden 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
18 LINEBERRY CADEN 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
19 HALL Fletcher 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
20 TOMOV Evan 1% 17% 39% 32% 11% 1%
21 ZHANG BAICHEN 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
22 KIPNIS Ari 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
23 BLACK John 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
24 MARTIN Wesley 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.