Daugherty Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC Foil and Epee only

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
2 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
3 LIU Yinhong 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
3 TURNER Jackson 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
5 KNIBBE Nathan 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 7%
6 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
7 FERGUSON Levi 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
8 DIFRANK Avery 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 11%
9 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
10 MURPHY Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 68% 18% 1%
11 BALES Gabriel 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
12 ELTOFT Caden 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
13 DOROTHY Alex 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 15%
14 DIFRANK Tae 100% 73% 27% 4% - -
15 DEPP Edward 100% 95% 70% 27% 5% -
16 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 71% 25% 3% - -
17 IBRAHIM Khaden 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
18 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
19 HALL Fletcher 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
20 TOMOV Evan 100% 99% 82% 44% 12% 1%
21 ZHANG BAICHEN 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
22 KIPNIS Ari 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
23 BLACK John 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
24 MARTIN Wesley 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.