Nova Fencing Club - Falls Church, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ABBOUD Michael | V V D V V V | V V V V V | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 2 | LE BORGNE Matthieu | D V V V V V | V V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 3 | HULL Liam | V D V V V V | V V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 3 | CARNALL Hunter | V V V V D D | V V V V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 5 | PENNER Kyle D. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 6 | SO Lorenzo | V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 8 | MODANLOU Navid | D D V V V | V V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 9 | FU Ethan | V V V V V V | V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 10 | TRITHART Jacob M. | V V V V V V | V | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| 11 | ZHANG Andy | D V V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 12 | PETROW Zoryan | D V V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 13 | BANNEN Nicholas | V V D D V V | V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 14 | BLACK Ethan | V V D D V V | V V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 15 | ROTHKA Spencer J. | V D D V V | V V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 16 | VICKERMAN Sofia | V V V V D D | V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 17 | PALAMARCHUK Andriy | V V V V D V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 18 | MEGGERS Davin | D V V V V V | V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 19 | PALAMARCHUK Matthew | D V V V D V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 20 | WU Shaochi | D V D V V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 21 | WEIDMAN Jess | D V V V D V | V | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 22 | MEGGERS Samuel | D V V D V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 23 | SAUNIER Cameron | V V D D V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 24 | HVIDING Ketil | D V V V D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 25 | ARMSTRONG Gary | V V D V D D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 26 | ALI Farhan | V V V D D | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 27 | GARCIA Carlos | V V V D D D | V D | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| 28 | ROINIOTIS Theodore | D V V D D V | V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 29 | DREYER Nadia S. | D V D D V V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 30 | EVANS Allen L. | D D V D V D | V D | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| 31 | MORA Genesis R. | D D V D D V | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 32 | PILIPOWSKYJ Luke | V D D D D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 33 | VICKERMAN Lilly | V D V V V D | D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 34 | SZYMCZYK Lex | V D D V V D | D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 35 | FRENCH Phaelen | V V D D D V | D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 36 | GANTSOUDES Isaac | V D D V V D | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 37 | PANE Patrick | V D D V V D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 38 | SJOBERG Samuel | V D V V D D | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 39 | CANDELARIA Armando | V D D D V D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 40 | BUI Ryan | V D D D D V | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 41 | HUEY Curtis E. | D V V D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 42 | SAMPAIO Beatriz | V D D D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 43 | DIAZ Brenna | D D V D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 44 | NAZIRALI Syedeen | D D D D V D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 45 | VADDE Prateek | D D D D D V | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 46 | VADDE Pranav | D D D V D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 47 | WEST Dale | D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 47 | VICKERMAN Aspen | D D D D V D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 49 | LAZURAN Daniel | D V D D D D | D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 50 | THORN Evan | D D D V D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 51 | PETRY Luke | D D D V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 | |
| 52 | VENCILL Nicholas | D D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| 53 | STERLING Henry | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 54 | ERBER Liberty | D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 55 | MARTIN Audrey | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.