Santa' Revenge Post-COVID 1

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, December 4, 2022 at 12:45 PM

Nova Fencing Club - Falls Church, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ABBOUD Michael - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
2 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
3 HULL Liam - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
3 CARNALL Hunter 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
5 PENNER Kyle D. - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
6 SO Lorenzo - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
8 MODANLOU Navid 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
9 FU Ethan - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
10 TRITHART Jacob M. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 2%
11 ZHANG Andy - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
12 PETROW Zoryan 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
13 BANNEN Nicholas - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
14 BLACK Ethan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
15 ROTHKA Spencer J. 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
16 VICKERMAN Sofia 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
17 PALAMARCHUK Andriy - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
18 MEGGERS Davin 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6% -
19 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
20 WU Shaochi - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
21 WEIDMAN Jess - 4% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
22 MEGGERS Samuel 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
23 SAUNIER Cameron 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
24 HVIDING Ketil - 4% 27% 42% 23% 4%
25 ARMSTRONG Gary - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
26 ALI Farhan 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
27 GARCIA Carlos - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
28 ROINIOTIS Theodore 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
29 DREYER Nadia S. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
30 EVANS Allen L. - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
31 MORA Genesis R. 1% 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
32 PILIPOWSKYJ Luke 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
33 VICKERMAN Lilly 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
34 SZYMCZYK Lex - - 1% 11% 35% 41% 12%
35 FRENCH Phaelen 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
36 GANTSOUDES Isaac 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
37 PANE Patrick 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
38 SJOBERG Samuel - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
39 CANDELARIA Armando - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
40 BUI Ryan - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
41 HUEY Curtis E. - 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
42 SAMPAIO Beatriz 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
43 DIAZ Brenna 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
44 NAZIRALI Syedeen 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
45 VADDE Prateek 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
46 VADDE Pranav 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
47 WEST Dale 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
47 VICKERMAN Aspen 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
49 LAZURAN Daniel 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
50 THORN Evan 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
51 PETRY Luke 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
52 VENCILL Nicholas 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
53 STERLING Henry 19% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
54 ERBER Liberty 4% 29% 44% 20% 3% -
55 MARTIN Audrey 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.