Fairfax Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, & VET)

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, March 24, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Baltimore, MD - Baltimore, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAYEZ Ayman A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 DE GUZMAN Inaki P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
3 XIAN Ryan 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
5 SCHACK Samuel D. 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
6 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
7 ZHENG Hagen 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
8 SILVER Cameron 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
9 ALLEN Graham 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 6%
10 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
11 TAE William G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
12 STOTT Donovan R. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1%
13 HOFFMANN Christopher J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
14 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
15 LI Jeffrey 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 10%
16 YOON Nathan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
17 LAFVING Brandon 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
18 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
19 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
19 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
21 PARK Minchan 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
22 HANXU Richard A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
23 KLASSEN Andrew P. 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
24 CULLEN Daniel F. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 8% 1%
25 FREEMAN Daniel H. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 1%
26 TRAN Dai Long 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
27 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
28 LIU John 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 11% 1%
29 KIM Minjun 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
30 CHARRON Jack H. 100% 65% 24% 5% - -
31 JURGENSON Artemie A. 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
32 LI Jeffrey 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
33 PLUMER Jack E. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
34 DAVIS Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
35 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
36 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
37 ECKEL Anson J. 100% 99% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
38 DEL CASTILLO Matthew Raymond M. 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
39 KUMAR Anitya 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6%
40 CHEN Wesley 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
41 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2% -
42 YI Kyle 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
43 DE KLERK Ryan 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
44 CHEN Eric Y. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 7%
45 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% -
46 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
47 RITCHIE Patrick Q. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
48 HODGE Jaydon L. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
49 SOZANSKI Kyle S. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
50 TATE Leon J. 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
51 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
52 ADLER Ethan M. 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
53 LIU Kevin X. 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
54 XIAN Riley 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
55 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 44% 10% 1% - - -
56 LABROZZI Aidan 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
57 GARRISON Andrew T. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
58 KUHN Jeffrey 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
59 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.