The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 18, 2022 at 1:00 PM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
2 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
3 LI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
3 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 38%
5 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
7 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
8 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
9 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
10 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
11 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 2%
12 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
13 VINOTH Aaron 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
14 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 98% 84% 45% 10%
15 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 99% 92% 63% 20% 2%
16 DECKER Hunter 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
17 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
18 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
19 KIM Minjae 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
20 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 19%
21 YU Austin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
22 LEE JiYuen 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
23 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
24 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
25 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
26 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
27 GRAMMATIKOV Michael 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
28 KIM Teddy 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 1%
29 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
30 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
31 GRAVES Lawson 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
32 NAEMI Barsam 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
33 STANTIAL Grant 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
34 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
35 MIAO KUNQI 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
36 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
37 LI zerong 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
38 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
39 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
40 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 97% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
41 QIAN Irvine 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
42 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% -
43 GOROZA Eric 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
44 DACHELET Sawyer 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
45 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
46 YALAMANCHILI Anvith 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
47 WU Johnny y. 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% - -
48 FU Adrian 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
49 MANGAN Hunter 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
50 SOOS Whitman 100% 77% 30% 5% - -
50 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
52 RAHMAN Ali 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
53 MULDOON Thomas 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% -
54 YANG Gary 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
55 OBREBSKI Kevin 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
56 XIONG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
57 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
58 KUANG Bryan 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 8% 1%
59 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
60 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
61 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
62 GAETZ Orion 100% 97% 81% 44% 13% 1%
63 LI Tristan 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
64 KIM Alexander 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
65 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9% 1%
66 HUANG Yidong Allen 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 9% 1%
67 CHEN Aiden 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
68 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
69 OLSON Joseph 100% 83% 39% 9% 1%
70 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
71 FENG Ethan 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
72 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
73 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
73 NEWSOM Finn 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
75 LEUNG Dylan 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
76 KIM Remington 100% 80% 36% 7% 1% - -
77 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 85% 45% 11% 1% - -
78 ABAD Mateo 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
79 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
80 WANG Devin 100% 58% 16% 2% -
81 MA Houhin 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
82 GUO Woody 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
83 LIU Max 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
84 PEREZ Daniel 100% 70% 26% 4% - - -
85 SATHYAN Dev 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
86 HASSMAN Eoin 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.