January NAC

Veteran Men's Épée

Saturday, January 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LICHTEN Keith H. - - - 2% 19% 53% 26%
2 MAKMATOV Vadim - 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
3 WILKINSON Derek H. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
3 BUCKLEY Michael - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
5 FRANK Fred - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
6 MECHKOV Iliya - - - - 5% 28% 67%
7 STOCK Jordan - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
8 ROSTAL Scott E. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
9 GAINES Aaron - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
10 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
11 BARTLETT Jonathan R. - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
12 SANTA MARIA Carlos A. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
13 GATES Darcy C. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
14 CHENG Thomas - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 20%
15 MASE James B. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
16 RUSKIN David I. 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
17 SCALES Chad - 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
18 KENT Dwain - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
19 DEUCHER Joseph H. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
20 HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
20 CRANOR Erich L. - 3% 17% 40% 33% 7%
22 BALLARD Mark V. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
23 EVANS Allen L. 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
24 SIMMONS Matthew C. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 1%
25 O'DOWD Andrew J. - 3% 17% 37% 32% 9% 1%
26 BARREIRO Darren - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
27 LIOU Solomon 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
28 MEHALL Michael - 2% 15% 38% 36% 8%
29 WHEELER Mark C. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 15% 2%
30 CHOI Paul S. - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
31 HENZLER Thomas A. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
32 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 1% 8% 22% 31% 25% 11% 2%
33 ARROWSMITH II Alan M. - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
34 ROOD Alex - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
35 FOLEY Kevin - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 2%
36 HARRELL D. Fox 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
37 RESS Michael A. - 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
37 SANCHEZ Leon D. 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
39 NEWSOME James L. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
39 MENDOZA Zandro 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
41 GERACI Paul A. 2% 10% 25% 31% 22% 8% 1%
42 GUMAGAY Paul - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
43 KALAPASEV Nenad (Ned) (Ned) S. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
44 KROGH Daniel (Dan) M. 1% 9% 23% 31% 24% 10% 2%
45 CAFASSO martin 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
46 PHO Eric - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
47 LUO Aaron 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
48 POPOKH Leo 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
49 STEWART Robert 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
50 CAMPBELL Alex 1% 6% 18% 31% 28% 14% 3%
51 SPRINGER Michael 2% 10% 25% 31% 22% 8% 1%
52 MARSHALL William L. 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
53 SCHINDLER Sergey M. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
54 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
55 KIM Jeff 15% 34% 31% 15% 4% - -
56 BOLDUC PATRICE 9% 28% 35% 22% 7% 1%
57 NEALE James H. 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
58 MAZZOLI Julio C. - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
59 VARNEY John R. - 4% 20% 41% 29% 6%
59 LOEFFLER Carl E. 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
61 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
62 DICKSON Tim 3% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
63 MARKOWITZ William M. 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
64 DILLE Brice 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
65 SCOTT George R. 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
66 BAXTER Daniel J. 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
67 KLINE R. Jay 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
68 PENGELLY Neil 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
69 WAGMAN Robert S. - 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
70 DOWNEY Gerard C. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
71 HUGHES Michael D. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
72 PATTERSON Malcolm (Werewolf) D. 9% 34% 39% 15% 2% -
73 KLEIN Johannes 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
74 WEINGARTEN Solomon (Sol) 14% 39% 35% 12% 1% -
75 EDWARDS Tim 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
76 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
77 KRUGER Mark 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
78 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
79 LIPTON Michael D. 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
80 BLAKLEY Dwain 1% 6% 18% 30% 28% 14% 3%
81 SPAHN Jeff 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3% -
81 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 9% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
83 SWANSON Dave 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
84 BECK Brian C. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
85 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 16% 53% 26% 5% 1% - -
86 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
86 DAVIS Andrew 5% 26% 41% 22% 5% -
88 HESS Marc F. 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
89 FLINT James E. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
89 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
91 GAUVEY Ken C. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
92 GROSS Louis A. 12% 39% 35% 12% 2% - -
93 REID Michael 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
94 RIFKIND Neil 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
95 MEHALL Michael 64% 30% 5% - - - -
96 TIERNEY Luke 7% 41% 37% 13% 2% - -
96 SIMS Martin L. 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
98 REED David 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
99 SATTERWHITE William W. 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
100 GRAVIS Martin V. 65% 31% 4% - - - -
100 DAVIS Kelly 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.