Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Alex F. - - - - 2% 21% 77%
2 CHAMBERS Miles - - - - 4% 27% 68%
3 URSU Marcel T. - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
3 CARRINGTON IV William T. - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
5 OH Aster - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
6 GUREVICH Benjamin - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
7 NG Jonathan - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
8 FENG Brendan 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
9 CLARK Aram - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
10 LI AYDEN - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
11 SRIVATS Vedh - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
12 LIU Victor - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
13 AO Christopher - 2% 9% 28% 39% 22%
14 MCDONALD Finn - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
15 PINTO Marcus - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
16 BAI Evan - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
17 BIVIJI Ali - - 1% 9% 28% 42% 19%
18 DOMINIQUE Remson - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
19 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
20 ANAND Rishab - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
21 NARDINI Nathanael P. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
22 SUN Andrew - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
23 NGO Emerson 3% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
24 HUCHWAJDA Alex - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
25 WONG Max 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
26 DAI Zihou - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
27 LUO Leonard - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
28 ZHANG Kaixuan - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8%
29 MORGAN Abrahm H. - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
30 YOOK Isaac - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
31 HU Jayden - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
32 SASSI Ilyas - 1% 9% 26% 38% 24% 2%
33 DOSTAL Maximilian 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
34 HU Harry - 3% 13% 31% 35% 17% 1%
35 LIU Marvin - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
36 CHEN Lucas - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
37 LIEBOWITZ Carson 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
38 HARDRICK Noah 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
39 AVERY Marcus 1% 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
40 CLARK Dwayne - - - 4% 22% 47% 26%
41 BARRY Dave 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
42 LIU Aaron 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
43 CHENG Sawyer 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
44 LAMTAN Christoffer - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7%
45 LI Yidong A. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
46 YU BOWEN - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
47 CAI fungyu 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
48 BIVIJI Adam - 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
49 LIN Brendan 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
50 ONG Dylan - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
51 SONG Nicholas 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
52 GRABOWSKI Alexander 5% 27% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
53 MERMEGAS Alexander - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
54 CHAWLA Abhishek 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
55 GORDON Samuel 3% 30% 41% 21% 5% -
55 LIAO Sirui 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 2%
57 JOHNSON Leland - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
58 FEI Danny 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2%
59 SAYAR Luke - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
60 WONG Hawken 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
61 SAGE Nikolai 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
62 ZENG Alfie 21% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
63 TRZEPLA Max 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
64 WU Vincent 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
65 HU Andrew - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
66 ZHAO Royce 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
67 SUH Leo 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
68 LEMERY Marc 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
69 OREN Daniel 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% 1%
70 CUSSON William 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
71 WEI Rian - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
72 SONG Aidan 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
73 SLAVNOV Anton 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
74 ARVIND Adhijay 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
75 MUNOZ Jonas 64% 30% 6% < 1% - - -
76 PERRIN Leo - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
77 LEE Brendan - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
78 DONNELL Cillian - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
79 YU Ian - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 4%
80 BROOKS Drake - 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
81 MEHTA Yash 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1%
82 KAUL Ishaan 10% 31% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
83 LIU Ethan 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
84 PAUL James - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
85 SINGH Ekam - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
86 YAO Zachary 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% - -
87 YANG Justin 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
88 MALEK Zak 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
89 FRANCOIS Gabriel 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
90 MONELL Frank 7% 46% 36% 11% 1% - -
91 LEE Ezra 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
92 AGARWAAL Yohan - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
93 KOZLOFF Wyatt 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
94 GUO Jonathan 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
95 LYU Tyler 7% 30% 40% 20% 4% -
96 SAUVE Quinn 54% 36% 9% 1% - -
97 WAXLER Alex 10% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
98 CAREY Sam - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
99 BUKZIN Alan 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
100 KARAVAS Nicholas 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
101 BADMUS Joshua 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
102 CHAVAN Aditya 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
103 KUMAR Avinash 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
104 SO Morgan 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
105 GRABOWSKI Stanley 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
106 JIA Charles 27% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
107 ZHANG Aiden 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
108 BONGIORNO Wesley 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
109 REGALADO Hudson 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
110 ABREU ACKER Joaquin 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
111 RINALDI Savio 16% 37% 31% 13% 2% -
112 GUAN Adam 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
113 PARK Emerson 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
114 SO Dylan 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1% -
115 PROSPER Nathaniel 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
116 PIERPAN James 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 9%
117 YANG LOUIS 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
118 MAHAPATRA Siddhant 76% 21% 2% - - -
119 EARLEY Jack 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
119 OTT William 4% 33% 40% 19% 4% - -
121 PIPKE Garrett < 1% 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
122 BRISENO Ethan < 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.