Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
3 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
3 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
5 OH Aster 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35%
6 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
7 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
8 FENG Brendan 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
9 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
10 LI AYDEN 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
11 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
12 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
13 AO Christopher 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
14 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 8%
15 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 28%
16 BAI Evan 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
17 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
18 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
19 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
20 ANAND Rishab 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
21 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
22 SUN Andrew 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 20% 3%
23 NGO Emerson 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
24 HUCHWAJDA Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
25 WONG Max 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
26 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
27 LUO Leonard 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
28 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
29 MORGAN Abrahm H. 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
30 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
31 HU Jayden 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
32 SASSI Ilyas 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 2%
33 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
34 HU Harry 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 1%
35 LIU Marvin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
36 CHEN Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
37 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
38 HARDRICK Noah 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 4% -
39 AVERY Marcus 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
40 CLARK Dwayne 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
41 BARRY Dave 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
42 LIU Aaron 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
43 CHENG Sawyer 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
44 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
45 LI Yidong A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
46 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
47 CAI fungyu 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
48 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
49 LIN Brendan 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
50 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
51 SONG Nicholas 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
52 GRABOWSKI Alexander 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
53 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
54 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
55 GORDON Samuel 100% 97% 67% 26% 5% -
55 LIAO Sirui 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
57 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
58 FEI Danny 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
59 SAYAR Luke 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
60 WONG Hawken 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% 1%
61 SAGE Nikolai 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
62 ZENG Alfie 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
63 TRZEPLA Max 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
64 WU Vincent 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
65 HU Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
66 ZHAO Royce 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4% -
67 SUH Leo 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7% -
68 LEMERY Marc 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2% -
69 OREN Daniel 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1%
70 CUSSON William 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
71 WEI Rian 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% -
72 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
73 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
74 ARVIND Adhijay 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
75 MUNOZ Jonas 100% 36% 6% 1% - - -
76 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
77 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
78 DONNELL Cillian 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
79 YU Ian 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
80 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
81 MEHTA Yash 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
82 KAUL Ishaan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
83 LIU Ethan 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
84 PAUL James 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
85 SINGH Ekam 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
86 YAO Zachary 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% - -
87 YANG Justin 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
88 MALEK Zak 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
89 FRANCOIS Gabriel 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
90 MONELL Frank 100% 93% 48% 12% 1% - -
91 LEE Ezra 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
92 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
93 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
94 GUO Jonathan 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
95 LYU Tyler 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
96 SAUVE Quinn 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
97 WAXLER Alex 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
98 CAREY Sam 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
99 BUKZIN Alan 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
100 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
101 BADMUS Joshua 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
102 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
103 KUMAR Avinash 100% 99% 91% 66% 33% 9% 1%
104 SO Morgan 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
105 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
106 JIA Charles 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
107 ZHANG Aiden 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
108 BONGIORNO Wesley 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
109 REGALADO Hudson 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
110 ABREU ACKER Joaquin 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
111 RINALDI Savio 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
112 GUAN Adam 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
113 PARK Emerson 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
114 SO Dylan 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
115 PROSPER Nathaniel 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
116 PIERPAN James 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
117 YANG LOUIS 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
118 MAHAPATRA Siddhant 100% 24% 2% - - -
119 EARLEY Jack 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
119 OTT William 100% 96% 63% 23% 4% - -
121 PIPKE Garrett 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
122 BRISENO Ethan 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.