Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 12:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Lucas - - - - 4% 28% 68%
2 LI Bradley - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 TANG Alexander L. - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
3 SHENG Dalton - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
5 GHEDINI Luca - - - - 5% 31% 63%
6 CHUANG Oscar - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
7 FEDELI Francesco - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
8 GUTH Joseph - - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
9 ZHAO Adam - - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
10 CHEN Kyle P. - - 2% 11% 30% 41% 17%
11 VADEN Oliver - - 1% 6% 30% 47% 16%
12 CHEN Ethan - 1% 12% 35% 39% 13%
13 SIMONOV Timofey - - 1% 5% 20% 43% 31%
14 ZHANG Lucas - - 1% 8% 29% 45% 18%
15 MO Ethan - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
16 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
17 PARRISH Evan - - 1% 7% 30% 45% 18%
18 TOOMRE Kai - 1% 9% 35% 41% 14%
19 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
20 MANDZY Theodor - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
21 YOON Junhyeok - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
22 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
23 HUA Aaron - 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 2%
24 LIU ERIC - - 5% 34% 46% 14% 1%
25 SUAREZ David - - 4% 19% 40% 33% 5%
26 HONG Logan - 1% 8% 34% 42% 16%
27 TANG Terry - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
27 ZENG Rick - 1% 11% 31% 39% 17%
29 CHENG Logan - 1% 7% 27% 44% 20%
30 FUKUDA Brando - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
31 LU Alex - - 2% 15% 37% 37% 8%
32 DESERANNO Leander - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
33 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - - 2% 13% 43% 43%
34 DHOKTE Neev - 1% 8% 26% 39% 24% 3%
35 WANG Luke 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
36 REN Ryan - 1% 6% 24% 44% 23% 3%
37 ZHENG Marcus - - 8% 39% 40% 12% 1%
38 YU William 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
39 KO Caleb - 1% 7% 26% 41% 21% 3%
40 PLUMMER Waylon - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
41 WONG Jacob W. 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
41 XIE Jicheng 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
43 DOELL Ethan - - 3% 22% 46% 29%
44 WEI JR Shan 2% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1%
45 KINGSLEY Griffin 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
46 HELMY Richard 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
47 ZMUDA Aiden 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% -
48 PAN Ethan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
49 GRIGORIEV Michael 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
50 SHIN Noah 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
51 ONIK Ari N. - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
52 KRZYWON Dylan 12% 47% 34% 7% - -
53 SHAW Spencer 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
54 XIE Jayden 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
55 HUYNH Matthew 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
56 WANG Ancen - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
57 LATORRE Leonardo - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
58 FANG Haoyu 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
59 TANG Royce - 6% 25% 40% 25% 3%
60 SUN Andy 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
61 XU Nathan 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
62 CZARNECKI Thomas 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
63 LIU Alex 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
64 QIAN Henry - 2% 12% 34% 37% 14% 1%
65 NOVIKOV Yann - 6% 23% 38% 25% 6% -
67 BAI Austin 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
68 FRASER Rhys 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
69 WATERFIELD Lysander - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
70 HAN Alexander 2% 17% 39% 32% 10% 1%
71 QU Zhida (richard) 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
72 TSENG Lucas 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
73 HE Ryan 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
74 BOWLES Kevin 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
75 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
76 CHEN Hendrick 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
77 KUO Phineas 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
78 CHEN kenneth 10% 36% 37% 15% 2% - -
79 MAZAHERI Theodore 25% 46% 24% 5% - - -
80 HUANG Jinyao - 4% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
81 TUCKER Nechiga - - < 1% 1% 17% 64% 17%
81 MOON Nicolas 41% 46% 13% 1% - - -
83 KIAYIAS Alexander 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
84 BRAIZINHA David 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
85 MARTIRE Luca 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 2% -
86 LIN Wilson 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
87 AMR HOSSNY Adam 7% 29% 38% 21% 4% - -
88 ZHOU Alex 9% 41% 36% 12% 2% -
89 JIANG Bohan 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
90 LEE Thomas 27% 44% 24% 5% - -
91 KIM Ethan 56% 37% 7% - - -
92 XIA Philip 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
93 ZHAI Derrick 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
94 GRYDER Gabriel 7% 35% 45% 12% 1% - -
95 GRACEY Gavin - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
96 ZENG Albert 4% 20% 38% 30% 8% 1% -
97 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 23% 49% 25% 3% - - -
98 PAULUS Gregory 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
99 SONG Yuxuan Austin 7% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -
100 KIAYIAS Anthony 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
101 PARMAR Veer 38% 43% 16% 2% - - -
102 LU Hansen 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
103 DUROCHER Greyson 61% 33% 6% - - -
104 HERDMAN Julian 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
105 TAN Charlie < 1% 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
106 MCWILLIAMS Carson 5% 29% 44% 19% 3% -
107 GRANT Aidan 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
108 CHOW Kingsley 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
108 MISHRA Kartikaye 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
110 ZHENG Austin 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
110 STANSBURY Desmond 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
112 HUANG Anthony 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
113 SCOTT Aaron 28% 45% 23% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.