Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 12:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
5 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
6 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 8%
7 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
8 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
9 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
10 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
11 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 16%
12 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
13 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
14 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
15 MO Ethan 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
16 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
17 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
18 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 14%
19 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
20 MANDZY Theodor 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
21 YOON Junhyeok 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
22 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
23 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
24 LIU ERIC 100% 100% 100% 95% 61% 15% 1%
25 SUAREZ David 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 5%
26 HONG Logan 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
27 TANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
27 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
29 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
30 FUKUDA Brando 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
31 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 8%
32 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
33 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
34 DHOKTE Neev 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
35 WANG Luke 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
36 REN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26% 3%
37 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 92% 53% 13% 1%
38 YU William 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
39 KO Caleb 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
40 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
41 WONG Jacob W. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
41 XIE Jicheng 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
43 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 29%
44 WEI JR Shan 100% 98% 83% 43% 11% 1%
45 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
46 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
47 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 94% 64% 25% 4% -
48 PAN Ethan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
49 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 2%
50 SHIN Noah 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
51 ONIK Ari N. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 2%
52 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 88% 41% 7% - -
53 SHAW Spencer 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
54 XIE Jayden 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
55 HUYNH Matthew 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
56 WANG Ancen 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
57 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 100% 93% 71% 34% 8% -
58 FANG Haoyu 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
59 TANG Royce 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 3%
60 SUN Andy 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
61 XU Nathan 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
62 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
63 LIU Alex 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
64 QIAN Henry 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 1%
65 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
67 BAI Austin 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2% -
68 FRASER Rhys 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
69 WATERFIELD Lysander 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 7%
70 HAN Alexander 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
71 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
72 TSENG Lucas 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
73 HE Ryan 100% 98% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
74 BOWLES Kevin 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% -
75 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
76 CHEN Hendrick 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
77 KUO Phineas 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
78 CHEN kenneth 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% - -
79 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 75% 29% 5% - - -
80 HUANG Jinyao 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 9% 1%
81 TUCKER Nechiga 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81% 17%
81 MOON Nicolas 100% 59% 13% 1% - - -
83 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
84 BRAIZINHA David 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
85 MARTIRE Luca 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2% -
86 LIN Wilson 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
87 AMR HOSSNY Adam 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% - -
88 ZHOU Alex 100% 91% 50% 14% 2% -
89 JIANG Bohan 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
90 LEE Thomas 100% 73% 29% 6% - -
91 KIM Ethan 100% 44% 7% - - -
92 XIA Philip 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% - -
93 ZHAI Derrick 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
94 GRYDER Gabriel 100% 93% 58% 14% 1% - -
95 GRACEY Gavin 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
96 ZENG Albert 100% 96% 77% 38% 9% 1% -
97 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 77% 28% 3% - - -
98 PAULUS Gregory 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
99 SONG Yuxuan Austin 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
100 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
101 PARMAR Veer 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
102 LU Hansen 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
103 DUROCHER Greyson 100% 39% 6% - - -
104 HERDMAN Julian 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
105 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
106 MCWILLIAMS Carson 100% 95% 67% 22% 3% -
107 GRANT Aidan 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
108 CHOW Kingsley 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
108 MISHRA Kartikaye 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
110 ZHENG Austin 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
110 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
112 HUANG Anthony 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
113 SCOTT Aaron 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.