Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, January 15, 2023 at 12:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
2 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
3 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 99% 96% 82% 50% 16%
3 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
5 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
6 WU MiEr 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
7 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
8 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
9 HEADRICK Liam 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
10 CHANG Matthew 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% < 1%
11 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
12 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
13 SHI Zhicheng 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
14 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
15 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 9%
16 MA Nolan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
17 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
18 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
19 DANILENKO Daniel 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 7% 1%
20 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
21 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
22 KONG Ethan 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%
23 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 5%
24 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 5% -
25 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
26 LIU Austin 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
27 ZHOU Luke 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
28 CHEN Daniel 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1% -
29 WU Matthew 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
30 MCCABE Zachary 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1% -
31 KANG Ihan 100% 98% 89% 63% 31% 9% 1%
32 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
33 QU RuiTing 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 4%
34 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 3%
35 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
36 KIM Siwoo 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
37 FERREIRA DE MELO Martin 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
38 REKHI Yash 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
39 MA yuwei 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
40 ZHAO ryan 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
40 WU Jiachen 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
42 LIU Alrik SiWei 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
43 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
44 NOOL Aaron 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
45 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
46 MILLER Xavier 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
47 CHO Joshua 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
48 KINCADE Renny 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
49 RANA Ibrahim 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
50 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
51 YAO Aiden 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
52 ELMARSAFI Wissam 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
53 ZHAO Brandon 100% 86% 50% 15% 2% - -
54 PARK lewis 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
55 VASILEV Victor 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
56 YU Jeremy 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
57 HANTOV Adrian 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% 1%
58 HAM Ian 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
59 DAWAY Gabriel 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
60 BRISTOL COLTON JOASH 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
61 YOU Emmanuel 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
62 YOON Jonathan 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
63 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
64 MAZAHERI John 100% 90% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
65 FEELY Samuel 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
66 PARK Ethan 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
67 YAO Irvine 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
68 MORET Declan 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
69 FEELY Benjamin 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.