Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, January 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAN Junzhe - - - - 3% 26% 71%
2 ZHENG Andy - - - - 5% 31% 63%
3 VYSOTSKIY Evan - 3% 15% 38% 38% 5%
3 LEE DoWon - 5% 23% 42% 28% 2%
5 LIU Adam - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
6 CORBIN Bennett - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
7 BORISENKO Samuel - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
8 PENG Yue - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
9 NAKAS Levent - - - 2% 12% 41% 45%
10 AYOTTE James - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
11 LOISEAU Oscar - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
12 MEHROTRA Neel - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
13 TSE Maxwell - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 15%
14 DONG Haiyi - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
15 SINGLETON Aman - 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
16 LIU Bryan - 2% 9% 26% 37% 23% 3%
17 XIA Dashan - - 4% 21% 40% 29% 5%
18 HERNDON Liam - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
18 BOUDREAUX James - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
20 KONG Brandon 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% < 1%
21 SHI Jian-An 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
22 MIDYANY Ryan - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
23 YANG Gary 1% 15% 39% 33% 10% 1%
24 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
25 HUANG Kenneth - - 4% 19% 35% 31% 10%
26 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
27 LEE Aiden 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
28 LEE Harrison 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
29 ARMSTRONG TyLee - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
30 SUN Ethan 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
31 AHN EZRA - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
32 SHAFFER Tyler 1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
33 NAEMI Barsam - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
34 YI Nathan - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
35 SHCHUR Grayson - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 9%
36 HELMY Richard - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
37 GUO Lucas - 4% 22% 43% 26% 5%
38 CHEN Jayden - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
39 CHA Patrick - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
40 MIDYANY Evan - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
41 CHEN Isaac Zhi - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
42 MAZAHERI Fletcher - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
43 DOAN Christopher 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
44 HEADRICK Jack - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
45 DANILOV Artur 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
46 WILKERSON Tobias 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
47 LEE Anton 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
48 MOORE Alexander - 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
49 DODIN Daniel M. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
50 BO Genero 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
51 NAM Nathaniel 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
51 YAO Ryan 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
53 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
54 KIM Julian - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
55 LIU Andrew - - 4% 19% 41% 32% 4%
56 DELONG Joshua - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 6%
57 YAKHNIS Seth - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
58 JIANG Aaron 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
59 NOOL Alexander 4% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1%
60 LONG Kevin 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
61 KROPP Wesley - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
62 CAFASSO Alexander - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
63 CHEN Daniel 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
64 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 2% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
65 MA Nolan - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
66 QU RuiTing 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
67 LUO Alexander - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
68 HERDMAN Julian - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
69 KONG Ethan 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 2% -
70 JIANG Harry 2% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
71 HUANG Max - - 4% 19% 45% 32%
72 YAO Aiden 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% -
73 KANG Ihan 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
74 FENG Xinmin 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
75 ANSARI Rayyan 1% 11% 33% 38% 16% 2%
76 ADDYSON Aidan 14% 40% 32% 12% 2% - -
77 SONG Aidan - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
78 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 1% 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
79 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% -
80 BURHANAN Tangguh 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
81 WU MiEr 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
82 TESFAYE Elias 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
82 HANNA Alexander 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
84 SOLOMON Aryeh 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
85 HIGGINS SEBASTIAN 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
86 KIM Jaewon 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
87 RANA Yusuf - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
88 LAM Jayden 6% 26% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
89 VAN RIET Stefan 9% 31% 37% 19% 3% -
90 ROBERTS Arthur 5% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
91 SHAPIRO Samuel 4% 32% 43% 18% 3% -
92 WANG Marcus - 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
93 LIU Austin 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
94 LIN ZIJIE 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
95 YU David 23% 48% 23% 5% 1% - -
96 ZHAO Brandon 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
97 PARY Jean Pierre 36% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
98 NOOL Aaron 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
99 DAWAY Gabriel 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
100 CARCELLER Jeremias 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
100 MA yuwei 36% 42% 17% 3% - - -
102 SHI Zhicheng - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
103 CHAN Ian 80% 18% 2% - - - -
104 POLAGANI Krishiv 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
105 WU Jiachen 6% 33% 42% 17% 3% -
106 FONG Henry 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
107 HANTOV Adrian 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
108 MILLER Balthazar 60% 33% 7% 1% - -
109 GIORDANO Zach 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
110 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 4% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
111 MCCABE Kian 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
112 HUNTER Owen 9% 43% 36% 11% 2% - -
113 YOON Jonathan 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
114 CHO Joshua 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.