Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, January 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 5%
3 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 2%
5 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
6 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
7 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
8 PENG Yue 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
9 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
10 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
11 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
12 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
13 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 15%
14 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
15 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
16 LIU Bryan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 3%
17 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 5%
18 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
18 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
20 KONG Brandon 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% < 1%
21 SHI Jian-An 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
22 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
23 YANG Gary 100% 99% 84% 44% 11% 1%
24 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
25 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
26 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
27 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
28 LEE Harrison 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
29 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
30 SUN Ethan 100% 98% 79% 42% 11% 1%
31 AHN EZRA 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
32 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4% -
33 NAEMI Barsam 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
34 YI Nathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
35 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
36 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
37 GUO Lucas 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 5%
38 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
39 CHA Patrick 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
40 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
41 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
42 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
43 DOAN Christopher 100% 99% 94% 71% 37% 11% 1%
44 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
45 DANILOV Artur 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
46 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 98% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
47 LEE Anton 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
48 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
49 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
50 BO Genero 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
51 NAM Nathaniel 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
51 YAO Ryan 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
53 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
54 KIM Julian 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
55 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 4%
56 DELONG Joshua 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
57 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
58 JIANG Aaron 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
59 NOOL Alexander 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1%
60 LONG Kevin 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
61 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
62 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
63 CHEN Daniel 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
64 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
65 MA Nolan 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
66 QU RuiTing 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
67 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
68 HERDMAN Julian 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1%
69 KONG Ethan 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
70 JIANG Harry 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 1%
71 HUANG Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
72 YAO Aiden 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
73 KANG Ihan 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
74 FENG Xinmin 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
75 ANSARI Rayyan 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
76 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 86% 46% 14% 2% - -
77 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
78 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 99% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
79 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
80 BURHANAN Tangguh 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
81 WU MiEr 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
82 TESFAYE Elias 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
82 HANNA Alexander 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
84 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
85 HIGGINS SEBASTIAN 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
86 KIM Jaewon 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
87 RANA Yusuf 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 4%
88 LAM Jayden 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
89 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
90 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% -
91 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 96% 63% 20% 3% -
92 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
93 LIU Austin 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
94 LIN ZIJIE 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
95 YU David 100% 77% 29% 6% 1% - -
96 ZHAO Brandon 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
97 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 64% 24% 5% 1% - -
98 NOOL Aaron 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
99 DAWAY Gabriel 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
100 CARCELLER Jeremias 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
100 MA yuwei 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
102 SHI Zhicheng 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
103 CHAN Ian 100% 20% 2% - - - -
104 POLAGANI Krishiv 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
105 WU Jiachen 100% 94% 61% 19% 3% -
106 FONG Henry 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
107 HANTOV Adrian 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1%
108 MILLER Balthazar 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
109 GIORDANO Zach 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
110 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
111 MCCABE Kian 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
112 HUNTER Owen 100% 91% 48% 13% 2% - -
113 YOON Jonathan 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
114 CHO Joshua 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.