FCC (Div1A,Div2,Vet) 2023

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, January 22, 2023 at 9:30 AM

Glenview Park District - Glenview, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZMYSLOWSKI Maciek 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98%
2 LI Chenyu 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
3 GUINAN Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 ROBINSON Matthew 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% -
5 MANAUGH Guy 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
6 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 99% 91% 58% 18% 1%
8 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
9 WANG David 100% 100% 92% 57% 15% 1%
10 ROBERTS Jonah 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 1%
11 WHEELER Mark C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
12 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
12 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
14 SHARPSWAIN Tennyson (Tenny) F. 100% 99% 86% 44% 7%
14 ARNEMANN Jonas 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
16 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
17 LASKA Patryk 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
18 SONN Rohan 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
19 SWANSON Dave 100% 100% 93% 59% 16%
20 SOBESHKEVYCH Roman 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
21 YUE Xinyi 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
22 HALLMAN Blake 100% 99% 79% 37% 8% 1%
23 ALI Adam 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
23 SAMUEL Nirmel 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
25 SHARPSWAIN Simon 100% 100% 96% 76% 32% 2%
26 MCDOWELL Will 100% 95% 58% 17% 2% -
27 PAPP Mike 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5%
28 TIERNEY Luke 100% 90% 41% 8% 1%
29 DICKSON Tim 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% -
30 NGUYEN Maik 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
31 GREENE Patrick 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
32 BRADFORD Ethan 100% 85% 39% 8% 1% -
33 NASSOS Eric 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 2%
34 WEATHERLY Hugh 100% 34% 4% - -
35 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
36 OM Anthony 100% 26% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.