NEUSFA Tom Gorman Beanpot Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 29, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EKE Frank - - 1% 9% 40% 51%
2 ZHANG William - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
3 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
3 DOELEMAN Zeno - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
5 JONES Simon A. - - - 1% 15% 52% 32%
6 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - - - 4% 35% 61%
7 MELCHER Jack H. - - - - 4% 30% 66%
8 XIE Brandon - 2% 14% 34% 34% 13% 1%
9 PRIHODKO Max - - 1% 8% 31% 44% 17%
10 SPRINGER Michael - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
11 QIAO Shang - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
12 SMITH Troy H. - 2% 19% 48% 27% 4%
13 SIMPSON Patrick - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
14 TRULL A.J. - 2% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
15 SANTOS Antonio K. 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% - -
16 SONG Troy 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
17 DEPOMMIER Remi - 1% 5% 21% 40% 28% 5%
18 KUBATIN Anton V. 2% 14% 34% 34% 13% 2% -
19 JACKSON Nicholas 2% 15% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
20 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
21 SCOTT George R. - - 4% 27% 52% 17%
22 FOLEY Kevin - - 1% 19% 57% 22%
23 SACCOMANNO Shelby 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
23 CHOI Mason - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
25 ZELIN Sam J. - 2% 12% 35% 36% 13% 2%
26 SKAALAND Will 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 5% -
27 RICHARD Owen - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
28 JOSLIN Tyler 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
29 RUSSELL Edward - - 5% 24% 39% 25% 5%
30 DJONOUMA Toyohm - 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
31 THORDARSON Paul (Thor) J. - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 21%
32 SAULSBERRY Saliim 57% 36% 7% - - -
33 ZEBROSE Cordell B. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
34 MATEI Daniel - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
35 STINE Charles R. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
36 WENGER Caleb - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
37 MARSHALL William L. - 1% 6% 23% 40% 26% 5%
38 QUINLAN Sean - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7% -
39 TORRES Gianni - 3% 21% 56% 19% 1%
40 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 53% 38% 9% 1% - -
41 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 7% 36% 46% 11% 1% -
42 BRUEGGEMANN Max 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
43 DONG Bryan 18% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
44 SANTOS Francisco M. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
45 SANTOS Felipe - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 3%
46 ALUMBAUGH Jonathan J. 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 1% -
47 MELCHER Charles 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
48 STEIN Philip 14% 42% 34% 9% 1% - -
49 BRADSHAW Carter 6% 29% 42% 19% 4% - -
50 MILGRAM Aaron 2% 17% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
51 MACNEILL Owen 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2% -
52 EGHIAN Armen 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
53 KELLEY Hayden 11% 49% 35% 5% - -
54 LIU Jeremiah W. 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
55 WANG Justin 6% 30% 46% 16% 2% -
56 MASE Orin R. 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
57 MCILWAIN Wesley D. 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
58 KIM Nathan 17% 48% 28% 6% 1% - -
59 ROSENBLUM Addison J. 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
60 BENTLEY Ethan 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
61 KAIN Brad 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
62 LIU Seven 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
63 ALFORD Andrew 38% 45% 14% 2% - - -
64 BRASSARD Calvin 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
65 BUTTS Brendan 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
66 SULKIS Adam 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
67 BEEVER Logan 9% 56% 31% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.