NEUSFA Tom Gorman Beanpot Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 29, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EKE Frank 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
2 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
3 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
3 DOELEMAN Zeno 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
5 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 32%
6 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 61%
7 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
8 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 1%
9 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
10 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
11 QIAO Shang 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
12 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 98% 79% 31% 4%
13 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
14 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
15 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% - -
16 SONG Troy 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
17 DEPOMMIER Remi 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 5%
18 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2% -
19 JACKSON Nicholas 100% 98% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
20 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
21 SCOTT George R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 17%
22 FOLEY Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 79% 22%
23 SACCOMANNO Shelby 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
23 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
25 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 15% 2%
26 SKAALAND Will 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5% -
27 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
28 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
29 RUSSELL Edward 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
30 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
31 THORDARSON Paul (Thor) J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
32 SAULSBERRY Saliim 100% 43% 7% - - -
33 ZEBROSE Cordell B. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
34 MATEI Daniel 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
35 STINE Charles R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
36 WENGER Caleb 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
37 MARSHALL William L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 5%
38 QUINLAN Sean 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7% -
39 TORRES Gianni 100% 100% 97% 76% 21% 1%
40 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
41 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 93% 57% 11% 1% -
42 BRUEGGEMANN Max 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
43 DONG Bryan 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
44 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
45 SANTOS Felipe 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
46 ALUMBAUGH Jonathan J. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
47 MELCHER Charles 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
48 STEIN Philip 100% 86% 44% 10% 1% - -
49 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 94% 65% 23% 4% - -
50 MILGRAM Aaron 100% 98% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
51 MACNEILL Owen 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3% -
52 EGHIAN Armen 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
53 KELLEY Hayden 100% 89% 40% 5% - -
54 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
55 WANG Justin 100% 94% 64% 18% 2% -
56 MASE Orin R. 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
57 MCILWAIN Wesley D. 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
58 KIM Nathan 100% 83% 35% 7% 1% - -
59 ROSENBLUM Addison J. 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
60 BENTLEY Ethan 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
61 KAIN Brad 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
62 LIU Seven 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
63 ALFORD Andrew 100% 62% 16% 2% - - -
64 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
65 BUTTS Brendan 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
66 SULKIS Adam 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
67 BEEVER Logan 100% 91% 35% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.