Event Preview
National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NACSunday, July 11, 2021 at 1:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3468 | 3583 - 3378 |
| 5 - 8 | 3304 | 3370 - 3242 |
| 9 - 16 | 3171 | 3201 - 3118 |
| 17 - 32 | 2976 | 3095 - 2903 |
| 33 - 64 | 2811 | 2914 - 2728 |
| 65 - 128 | 2531 | 2864 - 2249 |
| 129 - 154 | 2079 | 2500 - 1448 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.