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2023 Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAFARD Fynn - - - - 3% 34% 63%
2 MCGAW Julian E. - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
3 SODERBERG Alex Z. - - 4% 23% 41% 26% 5%
3 BENACK Steven M. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
5 MAKMATOV Vadim - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
6 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - - 3% 20% 56% 21%
7 CARLSON Jesse - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
8 PHUKAN Rohin 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 4%
9 HONZ Jacob - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
10 WATT Darren 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
11 DU Shunyu K. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
12 CHOI Isaac - - 2% 17% 43% 32% 5%
13 JONES Caleb 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
14 CRANOR Erich L. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 20%
15 SUVOROV Yuly - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
16 STOCK Jordan 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
17 HUANG Thomas - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
18 JIN Nicholas - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10%
19 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
20 WELDON Benjamin - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
21 HAMZA Tudor 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 5% -
22 LIPTON Jason S. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
23 KONG Martin C. 5% 27% 42% 21% 4% - -
24 VENET Téva - 4% 20% 39% 27% 8% 1%
25 LOESER Jacob - 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
26 HANNON Owen 1% 11% 33% 35% 16% 4% -
27 RISSIEK Markus - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
28 GULLO Kenji Y. - 6% 26% 40% 24% 3% -
29 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
30 WEGENER Soren 9% 46% 33% 10% 1% - -
31 ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. - - 2% 13% 38% 37% 10%
32 DESSAUER Tobyn M. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
33 SMITH Justin C. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
34 JOHNSTON Conner S. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
35 ARMES Jonas - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 13%
36 LUH Ethan K. 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
37 WILLIAMS Derek - 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
38 DONDISCH Ilan 1% 19% 40% 31% 9% 1% -
39 FULLER George K. - - 3% 16% 37% 33% 11%
40 GUAN Nathan 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
41 BARTELS Marc 10% 29% 33% 20% 7% 1% -
42 PERKA Michael - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
43 LI Samuel 5% 38% 40% 14% 2% - -
44 LIPTON Michael D. 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
45 WAI Andreas 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
46 BOKHANEVICH Dmitriy S. 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
47 KING Richard (Dick) M. 9% 31% 38% 18% 4% -
48 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 51% 40% 9% 1% - - -
49 CHU Allan 2% 23% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
50 KIM Andrew J. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
51 KILUK Andrew - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
52 GREGER Jack 2% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1% -
53 MUNOZ Humberto - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
54 GOLAB Alex 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
55 VARNEY John R. - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
56 PARKS Isaac 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
57 BLOCK B.J. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
58 OLSON Kevin 41% 46% 12% 1% - - -
59 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 9% 33% 36% 18% 4% - -
60 KIM Teo 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
61 BEAVER Aaron 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
62 CASTONGUAY Luc 13% 38% 37% 12% 1% - -
63 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 69% 28% 3% - - - -
64 CHENG Zijun 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
65 BECKER Joseph 28% 46% 22% 4% - - -
66 STACKHOUSE Andre L. - 8% 30% 40% 19% 2% -
67 PATCHETT Bennett 71% 26% 3% - - - -
68 KLEIN Johannes 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
69 SILKEY Jason 76% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.