2023 Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAFARD Fynn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 63%
2 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31%
3 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
3 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
5 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
6 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 21%
7 CARLSON Jesse 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
8 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
9 HONZ Jacob 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
10 WATT Darren 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
11 DU Shunyu K. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
12 CHOI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37% 5%
13 JONES Caleb 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
14 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
15 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 37% 8%
16 STOCK Jordan 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
17 HUANG Thomas 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
18 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
19 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
20 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
21 HAMZA Tudor 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
22 LIPTON Jason S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
23 KONG Martin C. 100% 95% 68% 25% 4% - -
24 VENET Téva 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 9% 1%
25 LOESER Jacob 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
26 HANNON Owen 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
27 RISSIEK Markus 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
28 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 3% -
29 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
30 WEGENER Soren 100% 91% 45% 12% 2% - -
31 ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 10%
32 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
33 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
34 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
35 ARMES Jonas 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
36 LUH Ethan K. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
37 WILLIAMS Derek 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
38 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 99% 80% 40% 9% 1% -
39 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
40 GUAN Nathan 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
41 BARTELS Marc 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
42 PERKA Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
43 LI Samuel 100% 95% 57% 17% 2% - -
44 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
45 WAI Andreas 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
46 BOKHANEVICH Dmitriy S. 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
47 KING Richard (Dick) M. 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
48 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
49 CHU Allan 100% 98% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
50 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
51 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
52 GREGER Jack 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1% -
53 MUNOZ Humberto 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
54 GOLAB Alex 100% 93% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
55 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
56 PARKS Isaac 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
57 BLOCK B.J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
58 OLSON Kevin 100% 59% 13% 1% - - -
59 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 100% 91% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
60 KIM Teo 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% - -
61 BEAVER Aaron 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
62 CASTONGUAY Luc 100% 87% 49% 12% 1% - -
63 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 31% 3% - - - -
64 CHENG Zijun 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
65 BECKER Joseph 100% 72% 25% 4% - - -
66 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 100% 91% 61% 21% 2% -
67 PATCHETT Bennett 100% 29% 3% - - - -
68 KLEIN Johannes 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
69 SILKEY Jason 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.