The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN James G. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
2 LIU Derek - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
3 PITERBARG Maxim - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
3 REZA Farazi 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
5 ZHAO Adam - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
6 CHEN Ethan - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
7 LIU Ryan - 3% 20% 43% 29% 5%
8 CHENG Logan - 6% 30% 39% 20% 4%
9 LEE Brendan - - 6% 27% 43% 24%
10 RNO Kyler 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
11 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 3% 16% 33% 32% 15% 3%
12 SUN Ryan - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
13 MILLER Jordan - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
14 LYNCH Owen C. - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
15 GLEBA Nico - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
16 ZENG Rick 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
17 LEUNG Jin 3% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2%
18 LI Aaron - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
19 KALIPERSAD Neil A. - - 2% 10% 27% 38% 22%
20 UNGERER Roger M. - 4% 15% 29% 32% 17% 4%
21 ABRAMSOHN Seth 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
22 KOVACS Wyatt - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
23 XU Ethan - 1% 11% 39% 41% 9%
24 SURESH Rohan 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
25 NICOLL James 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
26 MARTIN Darius 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
27 LI Ayren - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
28 ARCE Andrew W. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
29 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
30 DALBERG Anders 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
31 CHEN Hanson 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
32 YANG Dylan 19% 53% 24% 4% - -
33 TJON Calum 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
34 SRINIVASAN Vedant 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
35 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
36 JURMAN Therin 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
37 NICOLL William - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
38 HARRA Alexander 5% 31% 38% 20% 5% - -
39 BAI Brian 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
40 PERLMAN Taiyo 4% 40% 39% 15% 2% -
40 CHENG Ethan 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
42 LEE Eugene 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
43 WILSON Eric 55% 38% 7% - - -
44 BLEIL Tyler 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
45 VALENTINE David 55% 37% 7% 1% - -
46 LORANGER Peter 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
47 GAO Payton 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
48 ZHANG Lucas 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
49 TAM Kyle 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
49 MENDEZ Ren 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
51 LEVIN Jack 3% 19% 39% 31% 8% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.