2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 4:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILSON Jude - - - - 7% 36% 57%
2 WANG Robert - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
3 BROU Inkosi - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
3 DENG Andrew - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
5 TRUDNOS Allen - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 16%
6 MARGULIES William - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
7 FIELDS Matthew S. 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
8 MICLAUS Justin - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
9 MORALES Jonathan - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
10 WONG Ryan - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
11 TENG MATTHEW - - 2% 13% 37% 37% 11%
12 PRIMUS Nazir - - 1% 9% 32% 45% 13%
13 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
14 THORNHILL Kwasi - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
15 HUANG Alex F. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
16 KIM-COGAN Ryan - 1% 11% 32% 40% 17%
17 CHEN Evan P. - - 2% 14% 34% 37% 12%
18 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 1% 7% 29% 42% 21%
19 LEE Aydan J. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
20 SUGIURA Samuel - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
21 NOBLE Colin - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
22 KILGALLEN William - 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
23 PANDEY Neil - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
24 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
25 STAMIS Kyle - 5% 24% 41% 25% 5%
26 SAVOY Luca - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
27 GUALTERO Samuel - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
28 FREDRICK Jameer 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
29 ZENG Noah - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 9%
30 WANG Nicolas - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
31 DOWNEY Baran 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
32 KESSLER Josh 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
33 DOLAN Charles R. - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
34 ATWOOD Griffin - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
35 CHENG Hong 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
36 YOO Maxwell - 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
37 HAN Daniel Y. - 1% 10% 33% 40% 15%
38 MCCARTHY Devan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
39 HOPPA Luke H. - - 3% 18% 40% 31% 8%
40 KASPER Aaron - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
41 KOGAN Nikita 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1%
42 VAROQUA Nalby 3% 21% 41% 27% 7% 1%
43 WEBER Mattias A. 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3%
44 PERRON Robert 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
45 PIWOWAR Alex - 2% 12% 36% 37% 13%
46 TASIKAS Stylianos - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
46 GONG Jerry - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
48 ENGEL Peter 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
49 ELIN Adam E. - 2% 13% 33% 37% 13% 1%
50 POSY Daniel - 4% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1%
51 MUNGOVAN Matthew 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
52 PENG Bryan - 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 4%
53 KOVACH Jonah F. - 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
54 ZHAO Lucas 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
55 CHUNG Connor 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
56 CHEN Jonathan 4% 23% 41% 25% 6% 1%
57 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
58 LIU Mingyang Ryan - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
59 CHOKSI Vihaan 6% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
60 SLODYCZKA Gabriel - 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
61 POLESHUCK KINEL Gil 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
62 MATTOO Surya 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
63 BOULAIS Andrew D. 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
64 SMITH Vaughn 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1%
65 LAUB William 5% 29% 43% 19% 3% - -
66 WAXLER Seth B. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
67 LEE Andrew 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
67 TSAO Oliver 6% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
69 SIMMONS John M. 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
70 DEKA Tanush 3% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1% -
71 BODKIN Jake M. 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
72 BHATIA Ekam 5% 31% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
73 DEPEW Spencer - 5% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
74 LEONARD Charles 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
75 MEYERSON Jacob 1% 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
76 TAUER Sam 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
77 ZHENG LEON 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
78 DIMATTEO Michael 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% -
79 KAUFFMAN James 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
80 SMINK Oliver 4% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
81 RYAN Kai 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2% -
82 KIM Theodore 8% 37% 39% 14% 2% - -
83 MARGULIS Jared 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
84 MANESCU Miron 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
84 OU Brian 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
86 SEN Christian 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
86 DESAUTELS Connor 23% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
88 LEE Anderson 20% 44% 28% 8% 1% - -
89 TSAO Alister 67% 29% 4% - - - -
89 KEIPER Benjamin 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
91 JAVIDI Michael 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
92 FERTIL Ethan 88% 11% - - - - -
93 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
94 LIGH Checed 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.