2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 4:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
2 WANG Robert 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
3 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
3 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
5 TRUDNOS Allen 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 16%
6 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
7 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
8 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
9 MORALES Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
10 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
11 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
12 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 13%
13 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
14 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
15 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
16 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
17 CHEN Evan P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
18 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
19 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
20 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
21 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
22 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
23 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
24 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
25 STAMIS Kyle 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 5%
26 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
27 GUALTERO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
28 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
29 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
30 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
31 DOWNEY Baran 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
32 KESSLER Josh 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
33 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
34 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
35 CHENG Hong 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
36 YOO Maxwell 100% 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
37 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
38 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
39 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
40 KASPER Aaron 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 18% 3%
41 KOGAN Nikita 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
42 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
43 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
44 PERRON Robert 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
45 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 13%
46 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
46 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
48 ENGEL Peter 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
49 ELIN Adam E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14% 1%
50 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 9% 1%
51 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
52 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
53 KOVACH Jonah F. 100% 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
54 ZHAO Lucas 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
55 CHUNG Connor 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
56 CHEN Jonathan 100% 96% 73% 31% 7% 1%
57 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
58 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
59 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
60 SLODYCZKA Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
61 POLESHUCK KINEL Gil 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
62 MATTOO Surya 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
63 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
64 SMITH Vaughn 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
65 LAUB William 100% 95% 66% 23% 4% - -
66 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
67 LEE Andrew 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
67 TSAO Oliver 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
69 SIMMONS John M. 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% - -
70 DEKA Tanush 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1% -
71 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
72 BHATIA Ekam 100% 95% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
73 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
74 LEONARD Charles 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
75 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 99% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
76 TAUER Sam 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
77 ZHENG LEON 100% 81% 37% 9% 1% -
78 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% -
79 KAUFFMAN James 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
80 SMINK Oliver 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
81 RYAN Kai 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
82 KIM Theodore 100% 92% 54% 16% 2% - -
83 MARGULIS Jared 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
84 MANESCU Miron 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
84 OU Brian 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
86 SEN Christian 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
86 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% -
88 LEE Anderson 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
89 TSAO Alister 100% 33% 5% - - - -
89 KEIPER Benjamin 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
91 JAVIDI Michael 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
92 FERTIL Ethan 100% 12% - - - - -
93 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
94 LIGH Checed 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.