The Fencing Center SYC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 8:00 AM

San Jose, CA - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	MARSEE Samantha	-	-	4%	23%	40%	27%	6%
2	CALLAHAN Chase J.	-	-	-	4%	17%	41%	38%
3	ANDRES Katherine A.	-	-	1%	12%	35%	38%	14%
3	KRASTEV Minna	-	-	-	5%	24%	44%	27%
5	CODY Alexandra C.	-	-	2%	12%	35%	38%	13%
6	ANDRES Charmaine G.	-	-	1%	7%	29%	44%	19%
7	JUNG Irene	1%	6%	25%	38%	24%	6%	-
8	HERRERA LARA Luisa F.	-	3%	17%	37%	31%	10%	1%
9	SHEARER Natalie E.	-	-	-	5%	23%	46%	25%
10	XU Ellen	-	-	-	3%	19%	44%	34%
11	PENG Florella	-	1%	8%	30%	38%	19%	3%
12	CHIN Sophia J.	-	-	-	4%	20%	45%	31%
13	FANG Victoria W.	-	-	2%	12%	35%	37%	13%
14	PLONKA Kaley V.	-	2%	11%	28%	35%	20%	4%
15	YANG Lea	4%	23%	38%	26%	7%	1%	-
16	YEN Natalie	2%	10%	27%	33%	21%	6%	1%
17	KER Grace	-	-	3%	16%	38%	33%	9%
18	WANG Zidan	-	1%	15%	40%	33%	10%	1%
19	CHIN Elise	1%	12%	35%	35%	14%	2%	-
20	BARNOVITZ Maya	14%	34%	33%	16%	4%	-	-
21	TSE Angelina	-	-	1%	5%	23%	43%	27%
22	GOMES Diana C.	-	5%	22%	38%	27%	7%	1%
23	GHAYALOD reya	-	-	3%	15%	38%	34%	10%
24	KONG Carys H.	-	-	-	6%	26%	43%	25%
25	TSOI Julie	1%	6%	20%	33%	28%	11%	1%
26	HITOMI Nadya	1%	13%	35%	35%	13%	2%	-
27	LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA	1%	9%	29%	37%	20%	4%	-
28	DIECK Miranda P.	4%	27%	46%	20%	3%	-	-
29	TONG Jessie	37%	42%	17%	3%	-	-	-
30	PYO Penelope E.	4%	20%	34%	28%	12%	2%	-
31	BUCKHOUSE Talia	41%	42%	15%	2%	-	-	-
32	KATILA-MIIKKULAINEN Alli	14%	42%	32%	10%	1%	-	-
33	RAMIREZ Mirka A.	3%	19%	37%	30%	9%	1%	-
34	LIN Grace	41%	44%	14%	2%	-	-	-
35	HUANG MADELINE	51%	39%	9%	1%	-	-	-
36	TUNG Renee	1%	8%	31%	39%	18%	3%	-
37	REGANTI Sitara	12%	40%	35%	12%	2%	-	-
38	LI Chengxuan	45%	41%	12%	1%	-	-	-
39	LIN Lauren	5%	22%	34%	27%	10%	2%	-
40	STREU Mirabel	15%	50%	30%	5%	-	-	-
40	SHAPONA Lillian	26%	52%	20%	3%	-	-	-
42	BARTON Mele	4%	24%	39%	25%	6%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.