The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 2:00 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARAKOV Allen B. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
2 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
3 SHINE Peter C. - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 16%
3 MOYSE Alexander S. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
5 KIM Minjun - 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8%
6 GOLOBISH Kyle 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 11% 2%
7 ELAMURUGAN Kavin 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
8 MCGRATH Sean L. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
9 SCHICKER Glenn - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
10 KIM Juni C. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
11 YOSHIDA Stephen R. - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
12 PLECHAVICIUS Daniel 2% 23% 39% 27% 9% 1% -
13 VERGARA Nicolas M. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
14 BOWERMAN Lucas A. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
15 DING Phillip C. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
16 MARCHANT Albert J. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
17 SHENG Patrick Y. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
18 MCDARBY Michael B. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
19 STEVENS James F. - 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
20 SPANO Gideon S. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
21 WALTHER Bryan M. - - 3% 14% 36% 36% 11%
22 MARRAN Erik R. - 2% 14% 36% 34% 12% 1%
23 WOLOSINSKI Peter 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
24 MOTIR Lucas D. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
25 CHAUDHRY Rafay - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
26 BORATGIS Christopher J. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
26 SYOMICHEV Daniel A. - 2% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
29 FENWICK Luke A. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
30 POWERS Bill 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
31 BEACH Nicholas - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
32 RITCHIE Mark T. 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
33 INFINITO Christopher E. - - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6%
34 LUKANYUK Lorence - - 1% 7% 33% 45% 15%
35 RODE Damian E. - 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
36 PEDERSEN Christopher C. - 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1%
37 ELHADY Amr 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
38 MCDARBY Kieron M. - 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 2%
39 SMITH Nicholas S. 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
40 DOUGLAS Colin F. 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
41 MAAS Sean H. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
42 CHEUNG Liyan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
43 YOO David D. - 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
43 BONIN Jr. Christopher J. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
45 SINGCUENCO Lance 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
46 HUANG Forest - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
47 AWWAD Basel 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
48 GUMAGAY Paul - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
49 JACKSON Anthony I. - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
50 SIDDIQUI Humza K. - - 6% 43% 40% 10% 1%
51 FENG Kevin T. 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
52 CHEN Austin 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% 1%
53 KWONG Jason 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
54 PARTE Aidan - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 2%
55 GANESAN Vinayak 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
56 ELKHOUGA Haseeb - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
57 QUINTEROS AMAT Tomas 3% 15% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
57 BHATNAGAR Ayan 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
60 WADE Grayson 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
61 HODGE Jaydon L. 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
62 KIM Dohyun D. 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
63 LI Jeffrey 24% 47% 23% 5% 1% - -
64 CORRADO Bradford D. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
65 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
66 LI Brian 33% 43% 19% 4% - - -
68 AHN Sung-Ho 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
69 ZHANG Bruce 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
70 PAVATE Rishi 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
72 LEWIS William J. 9% 34% 39% 16% 2% - -
73 STEVENS George 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
74 PRAKASH Nikhil 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
76 BLANCHARD Jonah 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
77 HALEY Aidan 7% 36% 39% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.