American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 2:00 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 15% 2%
2 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
3 SHINE Peter C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
3 MOYSE Alexander S. 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 33% 7%
5 KIM Minjun 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
6 GOLOBISH Kyle 100% 99% 91% 69% 38% 12% 2%
7 ELAMURUGAN Kavin 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
8 MCGRATH Sean L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
9 SCHICKER Glenn 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
10 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
11 YOSHIDA Stephen R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
12 PLECHAVICIUS Daniel 100% 98% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
13 VERGARA Nicolas M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
14 BOWERMAN Lucas A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
15 DING Phillip C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
16 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
17 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
18 MCDARBY Michael B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
19 STEVENS James F. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
20 SPANO Gideon S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
21 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
22 MARRAN Erik R. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
23 WOLOSINSKI Peter 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
24 MOTIR Lucas D. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
25 CHAUDHRY Rafay 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
26 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
26 SYOMICHEV Daniel A. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
29 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
30 POWERS Bill 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
31 BEACH Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
32 RITCHIE Mark T. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
33 INFINITO Christopher E. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
34 LUKANYUK Lorence 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 15%
35 RODE Damian E. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
36 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
37 ELHADY Amr 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
38 MCDARBY Kieron M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
39 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
40 DOUGLAS Colin F. 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
41 MAAS Sean H. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
42 CHEUNG Liyan 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
43 YOO David D. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2%
43 BONIN Jr. Christopher J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
45 SINGCUENCO Lance 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
46 HUANG Forest 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
47 AWWAD Basel 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
48 GUMAGAY Paul 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
49 JACKSON Anthony I. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
50 SIDDIQUI Humza K. 100% 100% 100% 93% 51% 11% 1%
51 FENG Kevin T. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
52 CHEN Austin 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
53 KWONG Jason 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
54 PARTE Aidan 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
55 GANESAN Vinayak 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
56 ELKHOUGA Haseeb 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
57 QUINTEROS AMAT Tomas 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
57 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
60 WADE Grayson 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
61 HODGE Jaydon L. 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1% -
62 KIM Dohyun D. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
63 LI Jeffrey 100% 76% 29% 5% 1% - -
64 CORRADO Bradford D. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
65 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
66 LI Brian 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
68 AHN Sung-Ho 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
69 ZHANG Bruce 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
70 PAVATE Rishi 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
72 LEWIS William J. 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% - -
73 STEVENS George 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
74 PRAKASH Nikhil 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
76 BLANCHARD Jonah 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
77 HALEY Aidan 100% 93% 57% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.