San Diego Senior Cup #4

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 26, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Carmel Valley - San Diego, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
2 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
3 POLAKOSKI David R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 25%
3 GONZALEZ-MARTINEZ Eder 100% 99% 88% 53% 13% 1%
5 MATTIS George 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
6 FU Leon 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
7 STEPHAN Jens 100% 100% 100% 94% 55%
8 MOAVENI Robert C. 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
9 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
10 CALDERON Pablo 100% 100% 95% 68% 19%
11 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 8%
12 MCDONALD Ethan 100% 98% 73% 26% 4% -
13 SETTE Alessandro 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
14 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 21%
15 ZAROTSKY Ronald 100% 88% 42% 10% 1% -
16 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
17 HEWITT Frank F. 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 6%
18 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
19 KURITZ Marc 100% 91% 47% 9% -
20 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
21 CHAO Warren 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
22 SOLONOVICH Maksim 100% 95% 55% 15% 2% -
23 ALEXANDER Chuck 100% 94% 60% 15% 1%
24 JOYCE David 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
25 LEE Chun Po 100% 90% 50% 11% 1% -
26 POUKKULA Adrian 100% 43% 7% - -
27 DE LAUNEY Merric 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
28 DILLON Anik 100% 25% 2% - - -
29 HU Yingli 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.