March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HWANG Jayden - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
2 NG Jonathan - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
3 HUANG Alex F. - - - - 1% 11% 89%
3 GUREVICH Benjamin - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
5 LI Howard - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
6 YANG Phillip - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31%
7 ANAND Rishab - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
8 LI AYDEN - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
9 CHAMBERS Miles - - - - 6% 35% 58%
10 CARRINGTON IV William T. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
11 CLARK Aram - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
11 RONG Jasper - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
13 KOVALEV Daniil N. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
13 LI linze - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 22%
15 XIAO Brayden 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
16 SUN Andrew - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
17 MEDVINSKY Daniel - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
18 CAO Donald - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
19 IYER Neil - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
20 ANDRES Michael - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
21 MCDONALD Finn - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 11%
22 NARDINI Nathanael P. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
23 PINTO Marcus - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
24 LIU Victor - 1% 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
25 ARISTOV Ilya - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 9%
26 SALMAN Hamzah 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
27 KITSON Chase - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 2%
28 KANG Jeremy - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 12%
29 WANG Edward 4% 18% 31% 28% 14% 4% -
30 SRIVATS Vedh - 1% 5% 23% 42% 29%
31 AO Christopher - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
32 ZHAO Royce 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
33 TSE Aiden J - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
34 URSU Marcel T. - - - 2% 14% 39% 45%
35 WEI Rian - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
36 LI Yidong A. - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
37 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
38 ONG Dylan - 2% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
39 BAI Evan 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
40 LEE Brady - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
41 HU Harry - 2% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
42 LOO Jason - 2% 10% 27% 37% 22% 3%
43 KHANNA Adamantis - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
44 MEADE Liam R. 4% 17% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
45 WANG Tiger - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
46 HARDRICK Noah 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
47 OH Aster - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
48 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - 2% 11% 33% 43% 12%
49 LIU Ryan - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
50 CHEN Cooper 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
51 TANG Morgan - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 2%
52 YOOK Isaac - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
53 ANUMULA Aryan - 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
54 LIU Marvin - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 4%
55 KAYDALIN David 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
56 KIM Yusung 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
57 KROON Landon - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
58 HWANG Hagan - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
59 SOROKIN Egor 3% 13% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1%
60 BARENBOYM Michael 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
61 BIVIJI Ali - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
62 LIU Aaron - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 1%
63 TANI Tino - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 29%
64 SONG Aidan 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
65 XU Yixiao - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
66 CHAN Henry - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
67 LUO Leonard - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
68 HAO Johnny - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
69 CHI Everett 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
70 WANG Alex 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1% -
71 ZHANG Kaixuan 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
72 KOVACHEV Martin - 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
73 NAFTALI Ori 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
74 WONG Max 2% 19% 37% 30% 11% 1%
75 CHEN Jack 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
76 ROBINSON Ezra 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
77 YU BOWEN - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
78 KUSHKOV Michael 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
78 KANG Matthew - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
80 GU Andrew - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16% 1%
81 FENG Brendan 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
82 LIU Yijin 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
83 BIVIJI Adam - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11% 1%
84 WONG Hawken - 2% 14% 32% 35% 15% 1%
85 CHEN Boaz 1% 9% 38% 37% 14% 2% -
86 OU Rigel 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
87 LIEBOWITZ Carson 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
88 KUMAR Avinash 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
89 GORDON Samuel 1% 7% 26% 37% 24% 6% -
90 SASSI Ilyas - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
91 MERMEGAS Alexander - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
92 CHENG Sawyer 1% 5% 19% 34% 28% 11% 2%
93 NAMBIAR Navin 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
94 SHAPIRO Simon 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
95 AGARWAAL Yohan - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
96 TAYCHER Aaron 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
97 LEE Brendan 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3%
98 HUO Ethan - 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
99 DAI Zihou 1% 7% 27% 40% 23% 3%
100 LI Philip 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
101 BOSITA Brennan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
102 BHANDARE Niev 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
103 LAMTAN Christoffer - 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
104 BRUM Charles E. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
105 MAGITSKY Isaac 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
106 WONG Ron 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
107 KAUL Ishaan 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
108 BOLLU Viren 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
109 GUAN Adam 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
110 HU Jayden 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
111 ZHANG KAIQI 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
112 KOZLOFF Wyatt 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
113 LI Ryan 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
114 HAN Kyle 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
115 LIANG Preston 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
116 LIU Ethan 14% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
117 YUEN Caleb 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
118 PAUL James 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
119 NGO Emerson 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
120 YU Ian 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
121 CHEN Xing Ji 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
122 LI Huangziyue 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
123 LIN Alex 33% 42% 20% 4% 1% - -
124 SIMS Elliot 7% 29% 39% 20% 5% - -
125 SLAVNOV Anton 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
125 BADMUS Joshua 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
127 YANG Justin 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
127 CAI fungyu 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
129 MHLEY Gavin 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
130 SONG Nicholas 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
131 WANG Brian 8% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
131 KOHLER Vaughn 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
133 FU BRANDEN 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
134 YANG LOUIS 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
134 WANG Luke 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
136 ZHU Alexander 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
137 KANIA Alexander 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
138 MIAO Heqi 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
139 AVERY Marcus 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
140 MINASIAN Mason 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
141 ROH Jaden 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
142 ZHAO Aidan 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
143 KANG Alan 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
144 YAO Zachary 57% 35% 8% 1% - -
145 SO Morgan 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 5% 1%
146 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
147 WOSTER Matthew (Mateo) 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
148 LIU Guanyu 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
149 HOLMES Xavier - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
150 DIXON Allan 2% 22% 39% 27% 9% 1% -
151 LUC Cedric 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
152 THOTAKURA Sreyas 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
153 LO Lei 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
154 ARVIND Adhijay 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
155 LYU Tyler 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
156 LEE Bill King 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
157 MAI Ryan 43% 46% 11% 1% - - -
158 PARK Emerson 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
159 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
160 GUO Jonathan 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
161 CHAVAN Aditya 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
162 HE Zhikai (kyle) 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
163 SHINCHUK Jacob 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
163 LUCAS William 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
165 CROOKS Andrew 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
166 SO Dylan 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
166 GRIGORYAN Sevak 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
168 ZHANG Aiden 15% 40% 33% 10% 2% - -
168 MALEK Zak 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
168 QI Jeremy 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
171 ZHANG Eric 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
172 WU Yue 32% 51% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.