March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
2 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
3 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89%
3 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
5 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
6 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
7 ANAND Rishab 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
8 LI AYDEN 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
9 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
10 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
11 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
11 RONG Jasper 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
13 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
13 LI linze 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
15 XIAO Brayden 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
16 SUN Andrew 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
17 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
18 CAO Donald 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
19 IYER Neil 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 22% 4%
20 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
21 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 11%
22 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
23 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
24 LIU Victor 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 12%
25 ARISTOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
26 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
27 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
28 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
29 WANG Edward 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
30 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
31 AO Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
32 ZHAO Royce 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
33 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
34 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
35 WEI Rian 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
36 LI Yidong A. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
37 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 3%
38 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
39 BAI Evan 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
40 LEE Brady 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
41 HU Harry 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 6%
42 LOO Jason 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
43 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
44 MEADE Liam R. 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
45 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
46 HARDRICK Noah 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
47 OH Aster 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
48 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 12%
49 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
50 CHEN Cooper 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
51 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
52 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
53 ANUMULA Aryan 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
54 LIU Marvin 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
55 KAYDALIN David 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
56 KIM Yusung 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
57 KROON Landon 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
58 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
59 SOROKIN Egor 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
60 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
61 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
62 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 1%
63 TANI Tino 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
64 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
65 XU Yixiao 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
66 CHAN Henry 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
67 LUO Leonard 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
68 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
69 CHI Everett 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
70 WANG Alex 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1% -
71 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
72 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
73 NAFTALI Ori 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4% -
74 WONG Max 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 1%
75 CHEN Jack 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% -
76 ROBINSON Ezra 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
77 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
78 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 10% 1%
78 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
80 GU Andrew 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 1%
81 FENG Brendan 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
82 LIU Yijin 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
83 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12% 1%
84 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 1%
85 CHEN Boaz 100% 99% 90% 53% 16% 2% -
86 OU Rigel 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
87 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
88 KUMAR Avinash 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
89 GORDON Samuel 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
90 SASSI Ilyas 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
91 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
92 CHENG Sawyer 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
93 NAMBIAR Navin 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
94 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
95 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
96 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
97 LEE Brendan 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
98 HUO Ethan 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
99 DAI Zihou 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
100 LI Philip 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
101 BOSITA Brennan 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
102 BHANDARE Niev 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
103 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 2%
104 BRUM Charles E. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
105 MAGITSKY Isaac 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
106 WONG Ron 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
107 KAUL Ishaan 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
108 BOLLU Viren 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
109 GUAN Adam 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
110 HU Jayden 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 5% -
111 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
112 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
113 LI Ryan 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
114 HAN Kyle 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2% -
115 LIANG Preston 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
116 LIU Ethan 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
117 YUEN Caleb 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
118 PAUL James 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
119 NGO Emerson 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
120 YU Ian 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 1%
121 CHEN Xing Ji 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
122 LI Huangziyue 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
123 LIN Alex 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
124 SIMS Elliot 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
125 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
125 BADMUS Joshua 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
127 YANG Justin 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
127 CAI fungyu 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
129 MHLEY Gavin 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
130 SONG Nicholas 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
131 WANG Brian 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
131 KOHLER Vaughn 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
133 FU BRANDEN 100% 93% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
134 YANG LOUIS 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
134 WANG Luke 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
136 ZHU Alexander 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
137 KANIA Alexander 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
138 MIAO Heqi 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
139 AVERY Marcus 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
140 MINASIAN Mason 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
141 ROH Jaden 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
142 ZHAO Aidan 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
143 KANG Alan 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
144 YAO Zachary 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
145 SO Morgan 100% 97% 81% 52% 22% 5% 1%
146 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
147 WOSTER Matthew (Mateo) 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
148 LIU Guanyu 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
149 HOLMES Xavier 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
150 DIXON Allan 100% 98% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
151 LUC Cedric 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
152 THOTAKURA Sreyas 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
153 LO Lei 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
154 ARVIND Adhijay 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
155 LYU Tyler 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
156 LEE Bill King 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
157 MAI Ryan 100% 57% 12% 1% - - -
158 PARK Emerson 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
159 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
160 GUO Jonathan 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
161 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
162 HE Zhikai (kyle) 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
163 SHINCHUK Jacob 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
163 LUCAS William 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
165 CROOKS Andrew 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
166 SO Dylan 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
166 GRIGORYAN Sevak 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
168 ZHANG Aiden 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
168 MALEK Zak 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
168 QI Jeremy 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
171 ZHANG Eric 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
172 WU Yue 100% 68% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.