13th Annual Yellow Jacket Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 11, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Georgia Tech Campus Recreation Center: Atlanta, GA - Atlanta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHIN Sungmoon (Andy) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 65%
2 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 11%
3 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
3 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
5 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
6 MALLOY Patrick G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 23%
7 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
8 HUTTO Joshua 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
9 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
10 SAYLOR Harrison G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
11 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
11 BLAND Ian A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 18%
11 ALVIOR Joshua Aethan B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
14 NAIK Saininad 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
15 WANG Bryan 100% 100% 96% 68% 23% 2%
16 WANG Maxwell L. 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 9%
17 KENYON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 37%
17 WANG Aidan 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
19 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
20 LIM Joshua 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 2%
21 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
22 CLAYTON Robert 100% 100% 90% 59% 23% 4%
23 ZHOU Alec Q. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 19%
24 DANZIG Jacob S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
24 NORMAN Christian 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
26 AWAN Saqlain A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23% 3%
27 BUI Henry 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
28 ELLINGTON Keegan A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
29 LEADBETTER Gordon 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
30 LIN Kason 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 2%
31 ALLEY Everett T 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
32 BROWN Hannah 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
33 LEWIS Jared 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
34 LANGE Eric A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
35 LIU Dylan Y. 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 6% 1%
36 JAAFAR Omar 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
37 TEITENBERG John F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
38 LABROZZI Aidan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
39 TOUSSAINT Semaj 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
40 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 100% 96% 70% 27% 3% -
41 SHAFRITZ Noah 100% 88% 43% 11% 1% - -
42 WOOLLEY Blake M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
43 ALVIOR Jacob A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
44 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 99% 77% 37% 9% 1%
44 RAY William 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
46 BASKIN Miles 100% 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% -
47 MAXWELL Austin 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
48 PRICE Jordan 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
49 HAN Ethan 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
50 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% 1%
51 NG Joshua Z. 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 6% -
52 LENAHAN Conor J. 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
53 LANGUASCO Michael 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
54 CORLEY Avery 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
55 PAK Joel 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
56 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
57 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 92% 56% 15% 1%
58 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
59 LE Kevin 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
60 WOLF Christopher 100% 99% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
61 BENATER Lauren 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
62 FULLERTON Joshua D. 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
63 ILENRE Roni 100% 82% 24% 3% - -
64 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
65 FREY Wayne N. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
66 CHOI Adam 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
67 SMITH Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
68 SAYLOR David A. 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
69 SCHERNIKAU Jack 100% 99% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
70 MCFARLAND John G. 100% 100% 89% 51% 14% 1% -
71 ROCKWELL Nolan 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% - -
72 WALKER Cory S. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
73 CHUNG Joshua 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
74 BLAIR Hailey 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
75 JUNG Elliot 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
76 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
77 LEE Daehyeon 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% - -
78 BELL Adam 100% 94% 49% 12% 1% - -
79 KOTHA Maanas 100% 77% 22% 3% - - -
80 RASSEL John 100% 73% 24% 4% - - -
81 RYU Nathaniel 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
82 BERNSTEIN Matthew B. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
83 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
83 PEREVORUKHOV Ivan 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
85 HAYES Zackery 100% 19% 2% - - -
86 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 41% 6% - - - -
87 ROBINSON Blake 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
88 KEMLE Brian 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
89 CROSS Phoenix 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
89 GHOLSTON Alex 100% 41% 6% - - - -
91 CULLEN Reilly 100% 34% 3% - - -
92 BRYANT Benjamin 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
93 SEATON Jake 100% 59% 14% 2% - - -
93 BERNSTEIN Leo 100% 19% 1% - - - -
95 HONG Robin 100% 41% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.