American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAYEZ Ayman A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
2 BOGERT James BRETT (Brett) 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
3 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
3 WERRELL Jack 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
5 SANTOS Cameron A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
6 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
7 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
8 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
9 KIM Derek D. 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% < 1%
9 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
11 CULLEN Daniel F. 100% 98% 74% 34% 8% 1%
12 HILLYER Rourke W. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
13 YU Colin 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
14 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
15 MILLER Finn S. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
16 STONE Brian M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
17 BOWERMAN Lucas A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 15%
18 KOKENGE Clark 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
19 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
20 BHATNAGAR Nishay V. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
21 BASOK Daniel 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% 1%
22 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
23 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
24 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 7%
25 HERGERT Earl 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
26 LAFVING Brandon 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
27 LEIGH David A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
28 MRAK Michael R. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
29 SCOTT Oscar W. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
30 KANG Michael H. 100% 99% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
31 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
32 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
33 STUSNICK Hunter 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
34 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9%
35 BOGERT Alexander BRYCE (Bryce) 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
36 YOSHIDA Stephen R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
37 BEACH Nicholas 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
38 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 35%
39 AYAN Ege 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4% -
39 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
41 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
42 KLINE R. Jay 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
43 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
44 PLUMER Jack E. 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
44 ARMSTRONG James G. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
46 WOLF Myles J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
47 GANA Thomas A. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
48 MCGOVERN Vincent J. 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1%
49 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
50 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1%
50 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
52 BAKER Kevin G. 100% 93% 56% 15% 1% -
53 HAO Jerry 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
54 TAE William G. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
55 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
56 BURKE Matthew C. 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
57 LUKANYUK Lorence 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
58 ELAMURUGAN Kavin 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
59 SHINE Peter C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
60 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 4% -
61 CHERNYSHOV Max 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
62 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
63 GANESAN Vinayak 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
64 SPAHN Jeff 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
65 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
66 WOLOSINSKI Peter 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
67 ZHANG Matthew 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
68 KUMAR Anitya 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
69 GAMBINO Robert A. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
70 ROBERTS Samuel E. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
71 BONIN Jr. Christopher J. 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
72 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
73 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
74 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
75 MOYSE Alexander S. 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
76 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
77 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
78 CONNELL Jay 100% 81% 38% 10% 1% - -
79 KIM Brad K. 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
80 KWONG Jason 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
81 SIDDIQUI Humza K. 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
82 GREGORY Abram 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
83 CHAUDHRY Rafay 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
84 LI Brian 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
85 HUANG Forest 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
86 HODGE Jaydon L. 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% - -
87 SINGCUENCO Lance 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
88 RITCHIE Patrick Q. 100% 83% 40% 8% 1% - -
89 CHEN Junle R. 100% 83% 39% 7% 1% -
90 PARK Minchan 100% 93% 65% 24% 4% -
91 PARTE Aidan 100% 85% 47% 13% 1% -
92 SPANO Gideon S. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.