Morris Cup Spring RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 12:00 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIMONOV Timofey - - - - 1% 17% 81%
2 CHEN Hanson - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
3 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
3 MO Ethan - - 2% 14% 45% 39%
5 WANG Luke - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13% 1%
6 HOU Gaven - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 4%
7 REN Ryan - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
8 HAN Alexander - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
9 BAI Austin - 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% < 1%
10 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
11 YU William 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
12 GRIGORIEV Michael - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
13 ZHAO Ryan 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
14 SICAT Justin 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
15 KINGSLEY Griffin - 2% 16% 45% 32% 5%
16 ONIK Ari N. - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
17 BAKSHI Aman 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
18 KUO Phineas 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
19 XU Nathan 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
20 KO Caleb 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 1%
21 LEE Thomas 2% 18% 41% 30% 8% 1%
22 POLEBOYINA Amrit 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
23 WANG Ancen 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
23 BAGRINTSEV Nicholas - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
25 KIM Daniel 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
26 XIAN kevin - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
27 MANDELBAUM Oliver 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
28 CHOI Jaeden - 1% 6% 27% 46% 20%
29 ZHAI Derrick - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
30 ZHAI Alex 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
31 HUYNH Matthew - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
32 NOVIKOV Yann 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
33 WU Isaac 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
34 KOVACS Harrison 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
35 JOHN Meru 3% 18% 36% 31% 12% 1%
36 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
37 SIU Max 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
38 HU Michael 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
39 HARRY Ryan 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
40 PERKINS Nathaniel 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
41 BRAIZINHA David 14% 41% 34% 10% 1% -
42 HU Daniel 26% 44% 24% 5% - -
43 LEONG Samuel 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 2%
44 HARRY Landen 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
45 LEVESQUE Gabriel - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 1%
46 LI Jayden 11% 42% 34% 11% 2% - -
47 SAMUEL Lucas 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
48 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
48 GRACEY Gavin 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
50 LIU Gene 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
51 ZHANG Ethan 59% 34% 6% 1% - - -
52 WEZWICK Luke 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
53 SHARMA Sharray 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.