Morris Cup Spring RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 12:00 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
2 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
3 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 MO Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
5 WANG Luke 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14% 1%
6 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
7 REN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
8 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
9 BAI Austin 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% < 1%
10 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 97% 87% 61% 28% 6%
11 YU William 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 10%
12 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
13 ZHAO Ryan 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
14 SICAT Justin 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
15 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 98% 83% 38% 5%
16 ONIK Ari N. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
17 BAKSHI Aman 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
18 KUO Phineas 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 4% -
19 XU Nathan 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
20 KO Caleb 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 1%
21 LEE Thomas 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1%
22 POLEBOYINA Amrit 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
23 WANG Ancen 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
23 BAGRINTSEV Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
25 KIM Daniel 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
26 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
27 MANDELBAUM Oliver 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
28 CHOI Jaeden 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
29 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
30 ZHAI Alex 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
31 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
32 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
33 WU Isaac 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
34 KOVACS Harrison 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
35 JOHN Meru 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
36 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 6% 1%
37 SIU Max 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5% -
38 HU Michael 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
39 HARRY Ryan 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
40 PERKINS Nathaniel 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
41 BRAIZINHA David 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% -
42 HU Daniel 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
43 LEONG Samuel 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 2%
44 HARRY Landen 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
45 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 19% 1%
46 LI Jayden 100% 89% 47% 13% 2% - -
47 SAMUEL Lucas 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
48 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
48 GRACEY Gavin 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
50 LIU Gene 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
51 ZHANG Ethan 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
52 WEZWICK Luke 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
53 SHARMA Sharray 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.