Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
2 KIM Julian - - 2% 14% 38% 39% 6%
3 RONG Marcus 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
3 ENG Kyler - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
5 XUE Michael - 2% 13% 31% 37% 16%
6 TANG Michael - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
7 MA Nolan - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
8 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
9 WU MiEr - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
10 DING Max - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
11 ROBERTS Arthur - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
12 LI Bryan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
13 MOSLEY Wally 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
14 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
15 TUBALTSEV Evan - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
16 SHIH Derek 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
17 WU Nathan - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
18 WONG Alexander - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
19 FU Nolan - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
20 DU Evan - 1% 6% 22% 40% 27% 5%
21 MAZAHERI Theodore 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% < 1% -
22 LI Stephen - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
23 CHEN Aiden - - 4% 19% 43% 32% 2%
24 GUO Jonathan - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
25 MA kevin 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
26 NIU Alexandre - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
27 LIU Aiden - 6% 27% 40% 22% 4%
28 SHOURIE Seth 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
29 KIM Evan 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
30 WONG Kyle 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
31 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 2% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1%
32 SHOURIE Neel 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
33 HUA Nolan 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
34 THOMPSON Luca - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
35 YOO Lucas 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
36 CHEN Christopher 16% 44% 30% 8% 1% -
37 ZHANG Zhihan - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
38 SUNWOO Brady - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
39 LIN Daniel 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
40 LIU Xuyao 12% 35% 35% 15% 2% -
41 FAYEZ Adam - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
42 BOROVIKOV Alexander - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
43 JU Shang 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
44 WANG Lucas - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
45 MAZAHERI John 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
46 BAI Hang Qi 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
47 BAEK Joel 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
48 LI Vance 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
49 TU JUNZHE - 2% 24% 45% 25% 4%
50 ZHAO Luke 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
51 LIU Zeyar 9% 37% 37% 14% 2% -
52 YANG Rony 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
53 HWANG Matthew 9% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
54 LIU Yihong 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
54 SUNG Robin - 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
56 ZHANG William 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
56 FONG Ethan 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
58 WANG Mason 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
59 DAI Bo 53% 38% 9% 1% - -
60 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
61 NG Asten < 1% 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
62 SHARMA Mihir 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
63 LIN Bryan 1% 8% 31% 39% 18% 3%
64 LIU Alrik SiWei 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
65 LEE Lucas 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
66 LEE Aaron 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.