Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
2 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 6%
3 RONG Marcus 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
3 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
5 XUE Michael 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
6 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
7 MA Nolan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
8 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
9 WU MiEr 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
10 DING Max 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
11 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
12 LI Bryan 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
13 MOSLEY Wally 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
14 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
15 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
16 SHIH Derek 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
17 WU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
18 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
19 FU Nolan 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
20 DU Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
21 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% < 1% -
22 LI Stephen 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
23 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 2%
24 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
25 MA kevin 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
26 NIU Alexandre 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
27 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
28 SHOURIE Seth 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
29 KIM Evan 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 6% -
30 WONG Kyle 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
31 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1%
32 SHOURIE Neel 100% 97% 78% 43% 15% 3% -
33 HUA Nolan 100% 98% 88% 60% 28% 7% 1%
34 THOMPSON Luca 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
35 YOO Lucas 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
36 CHEN Christopher 100% 84% 40% 10% 1% -
37 ZHANG Zhihan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
38 SUNWOO Brady 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
39 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
40 LIU Xuyao 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
41 FAYEZ Adam 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 22% 4%
42 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
43 JU Shang 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
44 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
45 MAZAHERI John 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
46 BAI Hang Qi 100% 66% 25% 6% 1% - -
47 BAEK Joel 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
48 LI Vance 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
49 TU JUNZHE 100% 100% 98% 74% 29% 4%
50 ZHAO Luke 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
51 LIU Zeyar 100% 91% 54% 17% 2% -
52 YANG Rony 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
53 HWANG Matthew 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
54 LIU Yihong 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
54 SUNG Robin 100% 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
56 ZHANG William 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
56 FONG Ethan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
58 WANG Mason 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
59 DAI Bo 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
60 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
61 NG Asten 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% 1%
62 SHARMA Mihir 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% -
63 LIN Bryan 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3%
64 LIU Alrik SiWei 100% 75% 36% 10% 2% - -
65 LEE Lucas 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
66 LEE Aaron 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.