American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOHNSON Aidan J. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
2 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
3 TUMMINGS C.J. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
3 CHENG Thomas C. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
5 LIN Richard W. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
6 JANG Jaewon - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
7 YU Vinni - - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
8 PRINCE Nicholas J. - - 5% 28% 46% 21%
9 LEE Joshua - - 2% 14% 38% 38% 9%
10 GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. - - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
11 LOCKWOOD Owen - - 1% 7% 28% 46% 19%
12 REGE Advaith - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 6%
13 BALL James T. - - 18% 39% 31% 10% 1%
14 SCHULTES Evans - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
15 ZHOU Timmy - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
16 VANNI Filippo A. - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
17 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
18 WU Alexander - - 5% 26% 45% 24%
19 ONIK Elijah T. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
20 BAE Anthony - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
21 REZNICK Nicholas J. - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
22 CHIN Jason Y. - - 2% 11% 32% 38% 17%
23 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - 3% 17% 41% 32% 8%
24 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 13% 37% 34% 14% 2% -
25 WU Nicholas - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
26 RECHLER Logan - - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
27 LE Vyn A. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
28 SCHENCK Koen M. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
29 ZHAO Jason L. 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
30 LI Owen - - 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
31 BAE Kevin - 2% 21% 39% 29% 8% 1%
32 SOLIMAN Paul S. 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 2% -
33 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
34 ZHANG Henry C. - - 5% 23% 40% 28% 5%
35 CHAN Tyler - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 2%
36 BAS Liam - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
37 SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. - 1% 10% 33% 42% 15%
38 PYO Michael M. - 6% 28% 40% 21% 4%
39 BREIER Matthew F. - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
40 MOHAMMAD Abdulwahab - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
41 BRUK Peter J. - - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
42 SHIKHMAN Robert - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
43 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
44 PETERS Nathan M. - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
45 DAUM Charlie 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
46 LOUIE Timothy J. - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
47 KIM Yonjae - 1% 11% 41% 37% 10%
48 HEWES Thomas G. 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 3%
49 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
50 HARTMARK Anders 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
51 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. 1% 12% 38% 37% 12% 1%
52 KIZHNER Fillip 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
53 WEINKOPF William O. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
54 BICKFORD Michael S. - 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
55 SANTULLI Tristan 1% 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
56 DU Samuel R. - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
57 MAGIDSON Gabriel - - 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
58 BING Charles - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
59 STRAYER Andrew 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
60 WANG Jonathan 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
61 GALLUCCI Charles John 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
62 KAZA Nitish - 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2%
63 ORR Aidan - 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
64 CAI Oliver K. 6% 30% 42% 19% 3% -
65 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
66 KAO Castor T. - 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
67 HERGERT Benito - - 1% 10% 33% 42% 13%
68 ZHAO Jesse 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% - -
69 IVARSSON Oliver 1% 12% 50% 30% 6% -
70 ANTONIO Marcky C. 4% 24% 41% 25% 6% 1% -
71 MENG Zhaoyi 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
72 QI Steve 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
73 SHA Yi Peng 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
74 PAE Brian L. 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
75 WHITEHEAD Amir 4% 31% 41% 20% 4% - -
76 TSAI Max W. 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
77 KEANNA Peter 29% 46% 21% 4% - - -
78 DEMARCO Matthew 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
79 PAE Jonathan L. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4%
80 HAN Lawrence 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
81 AHN Jun 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
82 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 10% 46% 34% 9% 1% -
83 ECK Nathaniel 8% 37% 39% 14% 2% -
84 WANG Alex L. 24% 59% 16% 1% - -
85 FURST Matthew C. 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% -
86 ARANA Massimo 61% 35% 4% - - -
87 MCLENDON Diego 52% 38% 9% 1% - -
88 LANG Dong Lin - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
89 PAN Eric 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
90 DRESSEL Jet 28% 53% 17% 2% - - -
91 JUDD Mehta J. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
91 EIG Ethan A. 28% 46% 22% 4% - - -
93 WERWA Griffith 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
94 TAHOUN Mostafa 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
95 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
96 WANG Gerald Y. 7% 34% 39% 16% 3% - -
96 TOMRUK Batu 56% 44% - - - - -
98 SCHOFIELD Benjamin J. 37% 49% 12% 1% - - -
99 BROWN Alexander R. 15% 38% 34% 12% 1% - -
100 BOUSSY Luciano 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
101 BAO Wenyuan 63% 31% 5% - - -
102 ZHONG Guoren 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
102 MAHON Jacob 25% 45% 24% 6% 1% - -
104 VENKATESH Aditya 73% 24% 3% - - - -
105 CHOI-SLATTERY Kieran M. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
106 VISHNEVSKY Aden 44% 56% - - - - -
107 MAGIDSON Josh 42% 49% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.