American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
3 TUMMINGS C.J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 36%
3 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
5 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
6 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
7 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
8 PRINCE Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 21%
9 LEE Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
10 GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
11 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 19%
12 REGE Advaith 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
13 BALL James T. 100% 100% 100% 82% 42% 12% 1%
14 SCHULTES Evans 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
15 ZHOU Timmy 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
16 VANNI Filippo A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
17 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
18 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
19 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
20 BAE Anthony 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
21 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
22 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
23 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
24 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
25 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
26 RECHLER Logan 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
27 LE Vyn A. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
28 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
29 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
30 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
31 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
32 SOLIMAN Paul S. 100% 97% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
33 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
34 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 5%
35 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
36 BAS Liam 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
37 SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
38 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4%
39 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
40 MOHAMMAD Abdulwahab 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
41 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
42 SHIKHMAN Robert 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
43 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 3%
44 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
45 DAUM Charlie 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
46 LOUIE Timothy J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
47 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 99% 88% 47% 10%
48 HEWES Thomas G. 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
49 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
50 HARTMARK Anders 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
51 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. 100% 99% 88% 49% 13% 1%
52 KIZHNER Fillip 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
53 WEINKOPF William O. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
54 BICKFORD Michael S. 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
55 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
56 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
57 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 4%
58 BING Charles 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
59 STRAYER Andrew 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
60 WANG Jonathan 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
61 GALLUCCI Charles John 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
62 KAZA Nitish 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
63 ORR Aidan 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
64 CAI Oliver K. 100% 94% 64% 22% 4% -
65 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
66 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
67 HERGERT Benito 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 13%
68 ZHAO Jesse 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
69 IVARSSON Oliver 100% 99% 87% 37% 7% -
70 ANTONIO Marcky C. 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
71 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
72 QI Steve 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
73 SHA Yi Peng 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
74 PAE Brian L. 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
75 WHITEHEAD Amir 100% 96% 65% 25% 5% - -
76 TSAI Max W. 100% 99% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
77 KEANNA Peter 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
78 DEMARCO Matthew 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
79 PAE Jonathan L. 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
80 HAN Lawrence 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
81 AHN Jun 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
82 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 90% 44% 10% 1% -
83 ECK Nathaniel 100% 92% 55% 16% 2% -
84 WANG Alex L. 100% 76% 17% 1% - -
85 FURST Matthew C. 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% -
86 ARANA Massimo 100% 39% 4% - - -
87 MCLENDON Diego 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
88 LANG Dong Lin 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
89 PAN Eric 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
90 DRESSEL Jet 100% 72% 19% 2% - - -
91 JUDD Mehta J. 100% 80% 42% 12% 2% - -
91 EIG Ethan A. 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
93 WERWA Griffith 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% - -
94 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
95 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
96 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 93% 59% 19% 3% - -
96 TOMRUK Batu 100% 44% - - - - -
98 SCHOFIELD Benjamin J. 100% 63% 14% 1% - - -
99 BROWN Alexander R. 100% 85% 47% 13% 1% - -
100 BOUSSY Luciano 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
101 BAO Wenyuan 100% 37% 5% - - -
102 ZHONG Guoren 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
102 MAHON Jacob 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
104 VENKATESH Aditya 100% 27% 3% - - - -
105 CHOI-SLATTERY Kieran M. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
106 VISHNEVSKY Aden 100% 56% - - - - -
107 MAGIDSON Josh 100% 58% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.