American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GANTA Vijay 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
2 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
3 KIM Minwook 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
5 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
6 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
7 RAI Avin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
8 SMITH David C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
9 YAO Jonathan 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
10 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
11 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
12 ZHOU Miles 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
13 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 100% 96% 72% 30% 6% -
14 OWENS William 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
15 MORRILL Justin 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
16 QUAN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
17 MORRILL William 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
17 LASORSA Matthew 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
19 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
20 CHAN Daniel 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
21 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
22 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
23 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
24 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
25 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
26 WUN William 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
27 WU Mengke 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
28 YEN Preston 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
29 LIN William 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
30 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
31 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
32 MORREALE John 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6%
33 TANG Brendan J. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
34 KEEFE Duncan 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
35 TOPF Karl B. 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
36 CHO Brandon 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
37 TANG Albert 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
38 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 97% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
39 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
40 LEE Jude H. 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% - -
40 WOLIN Zachary 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
42 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
42 HU Andrew 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
44 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
45 GOLD Jackson 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
46 XU William 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
47 KURTZFREILICH Jake A. 100% 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
48 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 65% 24% 5% - -
49 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
50 XU Michael 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
51 CLAWSON Amzie 100% 94% 68% 28% 6% - -
52 VAROQUA Tolby 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
53 ANGKATAVANICH Owen 100% 91% 50% 15% 2% - -
53 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
55 SHAO Peter 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
56 ZATZ Ben Z. 100% 59% 13% 1% - - -
57 HOEY-WASOW Henry 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
58 HENWOOD PJ 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
59 HAQ Kamran R. 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
59 GRYCIUK Koby 100% 33% 4% - - - -
61 LEUNG Andrew K. 100% 65% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.