Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | DIDASKALOU Ilias L. | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 2 | CHERNYSHOV Max | D V V D V V | V V V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 3 | BLANCHARD Aaron (Sam) S. | V D D V V V | V V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 3 | BARREIRO Darren | V D D D V | V V V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 5 | NEALE James H. | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| 6 | HILLSTROM Nathan | V V V D V D | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 7 | GREENBAUM Isaac | D V D D V V | V V D | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| 8 | ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. | D V D D D V | V V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 9 | SCOTT George R. | D V V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 10 | BUSH Thomas | V D V V V V | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 11 | HEKMAT Sina R. | V V V V D D | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 12 | DESAMOURS Georges H. | D V V D V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 13 | CHOI Paul S. | V D V V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 14 | COTLAR Andrew D. | V V D D V D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 15 | CHAMBERS Thomas J. | V D D V D D | V D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 16 | O'BRIEN Timothy S. | D D V D D V | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 17 | FOLEY Kevin | D V V V V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 18 | DAMIANI Paolo | V V D V D V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 19 | KANE Tim | V D V V V D | D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 20 | BINDAS Michael | V V V D D V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 21 | MRAK Michael R. | D V V D V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 22 | NEWSOME James L. | V D V D D V | D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 23 | GERSEN Jacob | D D V V V D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 24 | MANOUKIAN David | D V D V D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 25 | CHELNITSKY Yuriy | D V D V D D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 26 | NEMAZIE David A. | D D V D V D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 27 | TREANOR Donald K. | D D V D V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 28 | RITCHIE Mark T. | V D D V D D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 29 | TATE Leon J. | V D D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 30 | VAN GOLEN Kenneth L. | D V D D D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 31 | KATOPES Peter | D D D D V D | V D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 32 | WHITELOCK James R. | D D D D D D | V D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 33 | KLINE R. Jay | D D D V D D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 34 | MACKINNON Russell H. | V D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.