The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUH Ethan K. - - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
2 CHIN Julian S. - - 3% 21% 50% 26%
3 DIERKS Kian - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
3 HOBSON Aaron K. - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
5 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
6 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
7 JAIN Aditya - - - 4% 22% 47% 27%
8 SISINNI Riccardo - - 3% 19% 48% 31%
9 NGUYEN Liam - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
10 DETERING Julian - - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
11 MA Andrew - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
12 WOO Christian - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
13 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - 3% 18% 39% 32% 7%
14 ELKOUSY Laith H. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
15 CO Dylan - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
16 PONS Diego 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
17 FINNEY Lorenz - 6% 27% 44% 20% 3%
18 SADOVSKY Leor B. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
19 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15%
20 RASMUSSEN Sage - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
21 SETLUR Bhrugu - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
22 LE Jacob W. - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 15%
23 CHENG Nathan - - - 5% 23% 46% 26%
24 TAN Christien - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
25 EDISON Ansel 13% 42% 35% 9% 1% -
26 YEE Johnathan - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3%
27 LI Matthew - 1% 18% 40% 32% 9% 1%
28 REICHEL Ezra 3% 24% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
29 GIRALDO Pablo E. - - 2% 18% 47% 33%
30 ANDERSON Jacob - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
31 CHI Alexander - 1% 7% 24% 39% 24% 5%
32 YAKUSHKIN Ernest D. - - 1% 9% 44% 46%
33 LIU Jinning - - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
34 SHAGIDANYAN German - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
35 YI William - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 5%
36 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
37 WU Alber Y. - 1% 17% 40% 32% 9% 1%
38 LI Toby 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 3% -
39 PARK Rion - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
40 BROWN Darius D. 1% 11% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
41 SEAL Maximus R. - 6% 28% 46% 17% 2%
42 WONG Yuheng Isaac 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
43 KIM Andy 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
44 PARK Sky - 3% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1%
45 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - - 4% 20% 39% 31% 6%
46 KIM Daniel Y. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
47 LI Jett - 4% 21% 38% 28% 7% 1%
48 LEE Jayden 10% 37% 38% 13% 1% -
49 WONG Evan 2% 18% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
50 LLIDO Soren - 2% 22% 42% 27% 7% 1%
51 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
52 SMITH Grant D. - 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% -
52 SAH Steven 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
54 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
55 RYOU Andy 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
56 MA Bryant - 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
57 LYNCH Owen C. 7% 34% 41% 16% 2% -
58 KIM Brian 6% 32% 43% 16% 2% -
59 KIM Aiden - 5% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
60 GORDON William L. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
61 HUANG Jonathan - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
62 HSIAO Nicholas 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
63 ZHANG Jacob 2% 21% 38% 28% 10% 1% -
64 BORG Matthew 13% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
65 PINCHENG Yao 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
66 BAE Eugene 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
67 TSAY Jordan R. 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
68 JIANG Yehong 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
69 PETERSON Lucas 11% 42% 35% 11% 2% - -
70 MONTGOMERY Georgie 31% 58% 10% 1% - - -
71 DALVA Michael 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
72 BOUCHARD Kai 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
73 ZHOU Aiden 53% 39% 7% 1% - - -
74 DAYAL Vedant 73% 24% 3% - - - -
75 GREENEBAUM Oliver 45% 42% 12% 1% - -
76 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 45% 41% 12% 1% - -
77 ZHONG Maxwell 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
78 PETROV Mikhail 72% 25% 3% - - - -
79 KUO Jayden 58% 39% 3% - - - -
80 SMITH Jeremiah 25% 56% 17% 2% - - -
81 SIDDIQI Amman 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
82 ZHANG Graham 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.