Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel - 2% 9% 24% 35% 25% 7%
2 ZHAI Avalo - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
3 SVERDLOV Seth - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
3 ZHANG Roland 8% 25% 33% 23% 9% 2% -
5 NABAVI Matthew R. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
6 SAVORETTI Pietro - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
7 LAI Boden - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
8 FU Ethan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
9 ZHANG ethan - 2% 9% 26% 37% 23% 3%
10 SONG Troy - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
11 JIANG ryan 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
12 HU Robert J. - 4% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
13 DOYON - VERDON William - 2% 14% 34% 37% 14%
14 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
15 FUSSMAN Yuval 5% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
16 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
17 MEN Junda 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
18 CAUCHY Eliot - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
19 FENG Du 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
20 PRIHODKO Andrew - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
21 DORASZELSKI Mark 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
22 XIE Brandon 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
23 ZHAO Zidong 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
24 COETZEE Frans M. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
25 HO Ivan 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
26 SIYANKO Joshua - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
27 SETO Jing 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
28 SO Lorenzo - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
29 AYALA Jaime - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
30 OTTO Nathaniel B. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
31 ZENG Andrew 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
32 HU Anton 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
33 CHOUDHARY Grisham - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
34 GRAYSON Joshua 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
35 RIVERA Louis 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
36 GOON Tristan Yang 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
37 REPIC Oliver 4% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
38 LIN Nathan - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
39 CAFASSO martin 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
40 CHU Brandon A. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
41 BUACHIE Aaron - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
42 YOON Walter - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
43 BANG Abraham 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
44 CHOU Benson 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
45 KWON Aaron 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
46 STELTENKAMP Neal 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
46 KIM Joshua 7% 31% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
48 ZHONG Lee 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
49 WHITELOCK James R. 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
50 ACKLAND Matthew 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
51 BOYKO Frank C. 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
52 KIRSCH Adam J. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
53 STAFFORD Neti 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
54 WOLFORD Benjamin 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.