Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
2 ZHAI Avalo 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
3 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 ZHANG Roland 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
5 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
6 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
7 LAI Boden 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
8 FU Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
9 ZHANG ethan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 3%
10 SONG Troy 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
11 JIANG ryan 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
12 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
13 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
14 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
15 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
16 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
17 MEN Junda 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
18 CAUCHY Eliot 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
19 FENG Du 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
20 PRIHODKO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
21 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
22 XIE Brandon 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
23 ZHAO Zidong 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
24 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
25 HO Ivan 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
26 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
27 SETO Jing 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
28 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 3%
29 AYALA Jaime 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
30 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
31 ZENG Andrew 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
32 HU Anton 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
33 CHOUDHARY Grisham 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
34 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
35 RIVERA Louis 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
36 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
37 REPIC Oliver 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
38 LIN Nathan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
39 CAFASSO martin 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
40 CHU Brandon A. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
41 BUACHIE Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
42 YOON Walter 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
43 BANG Abraham 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
44 CHOU Benson 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
45 KWON Aaron 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
46 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
46 KIM Joshua 100% 93% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
48 ZHONG Lee 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
49 WHITELOCK James R. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
50 ACKLAND Matthew 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
51 BOYKO Frank C. 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
52 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
53 STAFFORD Neti 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
54 WOLFORD Benjamin 100% 51% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.