2018 Falcon Open

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 9:30 AM

USAFA Cadet Gymnasium, Center Gym - Colorado Springs, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SULLIVAN Cameron W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
2 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 12%
3 BLYTH Jourdain L. 100% 97% 70% 29% 6% -
3 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
5 YUNG Zheng 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
6 KIMATIAN Stephen Z. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
7 BOGERT Alexander BRYCE (Bryce) 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
8 DRYJA David 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 13% 2%
9 SMITH Calvin R. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
10 ELGEZIRY Amro 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
11 KRAMER Jack P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
12 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
13 ETCHELL Thomas W. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
14 VAN LAARHOVEN Peter 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
15 ANDERSON Brendan P. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
16 YEE Rex 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
17 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 17%
18 GASPAROVICH IV George M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
19 ALAIMO Charles 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 8%
20 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 12% 1%
21 ZONE Liam 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
22 MILLETT Seamus T. 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6%
23 MAURER Chip (Charles) P. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
24 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
25 KAJI Ty 100% 83% 36% 5% - -
26 KRUGER Mark (Mark Kruger) 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
27 BRANDRETH Garret 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
28 KRAMER Mark 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
29 SMITH Jackson 100% 100% 97% 78% 33% 5%
30 BURCH Tristan H. 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
31 EBELL Ivan D. 100% 84% 42% 9% 1% - -
32 MAYFIELD Aaron 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
33 TRIFILETTI Lawrence T. 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
34 SOLTER Kai 100% 80% 35% 5% - -
35 MCMORRAN Ian W. 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
36 WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2%
37 PJESKY Marshall A. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
39 REDD Andrew C. 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
41 NUSZ Derik P. 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
42 GREGORY Tony 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% - -
43 ALLISON John J. 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
44 DE JONG Titus 100% 83% 42% 9% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.