Event Results

Junior Men's Épée

3rd Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCCSurprise Map

Sunday, February 24, 2019 at 8:30 AM Thousand Oaks, CA · Thousand Oaks, CA, USA

29 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	JEON Alexander E.	D V V V	V V V V V	2.6	3	+0.4
2	JEONG Connor	V V V D V	V V V V D	3.4	4	+0.6
3	DAO Matthew M.	V V V V V	V V D	4.1	5	+0.9
3	VELO Juan Manuel H.	D V D D D	V V V D	1.7	1	-0.7
5	MAENG Jake W.	V V D D V	V V D	3.0	3	-
6	COMER Daniel T.	D D V V	V V D	2.2	2	-0.2
7	THOMPSON Chester	D V V D D	V V D	2.1	2	-0.1
8	LEE Alexander G.	V D V D D	V V D	3.6	2	-1.6
9	NORBUTAS Jackson S.	V V V V V	D	4.4	5	+0.6
10	WANG Nathan	V V D V V	D	3.7	4	+0.3
11	ZHU Max	V V D V V	V D	2.7	4	+1.3
12	WELLS Tommy R.	V V V D	V D	2.3	3	+0.7
13	USHER Alexander	D V V D V	D	2.8	3	+0.2
14	KOSLU Aidan D.	V D D V D	V D	1.5	2	+0.5
15	LIANG Aaron	V D V D D	V D	2.7	2	-0.7
16	AHN Gus	V D V D D	V D	2.2	2	-0.2
17	GHILDIYAL Manyu	V D V V V	D	2.4	4	+1.6
18	FEES HOLDEN	D D V V V	D	2.4	3	+0.6
19	MOHEBI Saam	D D D V V	D	2.8	2	-0.8
20	SMITH Zane A.	D V V D D	D	2.1	2	-0.1
20	MENDOZA Zachari	V D D V D	D	3.1	2	-1.1
22	SCHENCK Theo	D D D V V	D	1.1	2	+0.9
23	WOMACH Tristan	D V D V D	D	2.0	2	-
24	MATTIS George	D V V D D		1.9	2	+0.1
25	ZIEBART Jeremy J.	D V D D	D	1.9	1	-0.9
26	SOOHOO Jackson F.	V D D D	D	1.0	1	-
27	FOREMAN Alexander E.	D D D V D	D	1.5	1	-0.5
28	KIM Sterling S.	D D D D V	D	1.1	1	-0.1
29	GILLISON Edward L.	D D D D D	D	1.6	0	-1.6

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

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