The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

3rd Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 24, 2019 at 8:30 AM

Thousand Oaks, CA - Thousand Oaks, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JEON Alexander E. 1% 12% 33% 38% 16%
2 JEONG Connor - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
3 DAO Matthew M. - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
3 VELO Juan Manuel H. 11% 35% 36% 16% 3% -
5 MAENG Jake W. 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
6 COMER Daniel T. 3% 19% 38% 31% 9%
7 THOMPSON Chester 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
8 LEE Alexander G. - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
9 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
10 WANG Nathan - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
11 ZHU Max 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
12 WELLS Tommy R. 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
13 USHER Alexander 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
14 KOSLU Aidan D. 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
15 LIANG Aaron 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
16 AHN Gus 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
17 GHILDIYAL Manyu 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
18 FEES HOLDEN 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
19 MOHEBI Saam 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
20 SMITH Zane A. 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
20 MENDOZA Zachari - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
22 SCHENCK Theo 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
23 WOMACH Tristan 6% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1%
24 MATTIS George 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1%
25 ZIEBART Jeremy J. 6% 27% 39% 23% 5%
26 SOOHOO Jackson F. 32% 42% 21% 4% -
27 FOREMAN Alexander E. 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
28 KIM Sterling S. 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
29 GILLISON Edward L. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.